{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6485b882-8731-4be7-9a9f-1573950ef558", "symbol": "XSXG", "name": "Xtrackers S&P 500 Swap UCITS ETF 1D", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.32, "architecture_energy": 55.864, "architecture_maturity": 81.062, "architecture_confidence": 64.736, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.65, "rotation_up": 48.38, "upward_expansion": 79.87, "deceleration": 71.46, "rotation_down": 29.24, "downward_expansion": 8.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.344333, 12.321218, 12.201935, 11.957586 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.629, "trend_reference": 11.664149, "distance_from_trend": 0.082719, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.825993, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.285265, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.029817, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.141293, "excess_performance": 0.090058, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082719, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034064, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.285265, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022662, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.020298, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015444, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.141293, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.33447, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 164506, "relative_activity": 1.467823, "balance": 1.33447, "dry_up": 1.535144, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018836, "annualized_volatility": 0.122542, "from_high_reference": -0.146442, "from_low_reference": 0.230716 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.664149, "fair_value_reference": 9.825993, "structural_low": 10.559693, 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"trend": 11.355528, "fair_value": 9.573135, "relative_strength": 2.937084, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.167481, "energy": 86.111451, "activity_lines": [ 12.251145, 12.09228, 11.695547, 11.528496 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 12.435, "volume": 10777, "typical_volume": 129124.4, "trend": 11.405026, "fair_value": 9.60649, "relative_strength": 5.997685, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.343805, "energy": 81.220308, "activity_lines": [ 12.3118, 12.189004, 11.790113, 11.598139 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 12.249, "volume": 29845, "typical_volume": 120853.8, "trend": 11.43784, "fair_value": 9.637617, "relative_strength": 2.879667, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.862404, "energy": 65.151474, "activity_lines": [ 12.296533, 12.227866, 11.86033, 11.652589 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 12.335, "volume": 33742, "typical_volume": 116643.7, "trend": 11.473852, "fair_value": 9.67007, "relative_strength": 1.892632, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.690384, "energy": 65.434527, "activity_lines": [ 12.308467, 12.269103, 11.933102, 11.710471 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 12.363, "volume": 168184, "typical_volume": 109974.55, "trend": 11.514347, "fair_value": 9.702628, "relative_strength": 3.799746, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.519389, "energy": 65.750217, "activity_lines": [ 12.3302, 12.301768, 12.002158, 11.767835 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.206, "volume": 280318, "typical_volume": 114934.0, "trend": 11.549543, "fair_value": 9.732848, "relative_strength": 1.45034, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.626424, "energy": 60.229822, "activity_lines": [ 12.294667, 12.293221, 12.050465, 11.812458 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.263, "volume": 45349, "typical_volume": 110732.75, "trend": 11.586208, "fair_value": 9.76307, "relative_strength": 0.615842, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.438796, "energy": 54.727003, "activity_lines": [ 12.276467, 12.289164, 12.099221, 11.858487 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.114, "volume": 198031, "typical_volume": 107691.15, "trend": 11.620759, "fair_value": 9.792637, "relative_strength": -1.791114, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.908317, "energy": 42.030668, "activity_lines": [ 12.220067, 12.257345, 12.128712, 11.892538 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.629, "volume": 164506, "typical_volume": 112074.85, "trend": 11.664149, "fair_value": 9.825993, "relative_strength": 2.029817, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.320494, "energy": 55.864267, "activity_lines": [ 12.344333, 12.321218, 12.201935, 11.957586 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }