{ "ticker": { "uuid": "64c51d37-4fc0-48b3-8c05-b4646c3a8988", "symbol": "DCC", "name": "Dynasty Ceramic Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.742, "architecture_energy": 67.342, "architecture_maturity": 44.567, "architecture_confidence": 82.801, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.37, "rotation_up": 65.71, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 58.25, "rotation_down": 22.63, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.471333, 1.453455, 1.396909, 1.351283 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.48, "trend_reference": 1.298022, "distance_from_trend": 0.140197, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.465913, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.00961, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.084829, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.221172, "excess_performance": 0.028847, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.140197, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057904, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.00961, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.133963, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.010848, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.121376, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.221172, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.374666, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2596300, "relative_activity": 0.519991, "balance": 3.374666, "dry_up": 0.948894, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031666, "annualized_volatility": 0.191776, "from_high_reference": -0.019868, "from_low_reference": 0.340048 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.298022, "fair_value_reference": 1.465913, "structural_low": 1.104438, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.000206, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.001621, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.098901, "worst_return": -0.188811, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.060859, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.083946, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.031141, "worst_return": -0.200402, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.082083, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.083498, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.059095, "worst_return": -0.290911, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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1.300013 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.48, "volume": 9813400, "typical_volume": 5616305.0, "trend": 1.269285, "fair_value": 1.471461, "relative_strength": -3.887651, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.050658, "energy": 90.929953, "activity_lines": [ 1.456, 1.414364, 1.352881, 1.314268 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.47, "volume": 5349100, "typical_volume": 5358590.0, "trend": 1.278864, "fair_value": 1.469797, "relative_strength": -4.32885, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.931528, "energy": 86.995288, "activity_lines": [ 1.466667, 1.430182, 1.368987, 1.327217 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.46, "volume": 1192400, "typical_volume": 5130100.0, "trend": 1.288109, "fair_value": 1.467791, "relative_strength": -3.446717, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.36303, "energy": 66.285157, "activity_lines": [ 1.466667, 1.441455, 1.382633, 1.338903 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.48, "volume": 2596300, "typical_volume": 4992970.0, "trend": 1.298022, "fair_value": 1.465913, "relative_strength": -1.084829, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.742085, "energy": 67.342001, "activity_lines": [ 1.471333, 1.453455, 1.396909, 1.351283 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }