{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "64c947ff-5444-4dd5-bc9d-8a47dfbc84e8",
    "symbol": "000782",
    "name": "Guangdong Highsun Meida New Materials Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 22.762,
    "architecture_energy": 22.86,
    "architecture_maturity": 74.217,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.101,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.34,
        "rotation_up": 25.39,
        "upward_expansion": 45.28,
        "deceleration": 81.6,
        "rotation_down": 42.51,
        "downward_expansion": 34.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.872667,
        7.063636,
        7.177143,
        6.935398
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 7.64,
    "trend_reference": 6.58,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.161094,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 5.243269,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.457106,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 21.196344,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.297114,
    "excess_performance": 0.289714,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.161094,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104027,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.457106,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.166571,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.211963,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001547,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.297114,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.737265,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 72802100,
      "relative_activity": 0.691746,
      "balance": 0.737265,
      "dry_up": 0.850158,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.103,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.528049,
      "from_high_reference": -0.155801,
      "from_low_reference": 0.618644
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.58,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.243269,
      "structural_low": 4.91,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.048318,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002941,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.038095,
        "worst_return": -0.242701,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.041338,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013825,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.048043,
        "worst_return": -0.211679,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.122047,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.129935,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.464413,
        "worst_return": -0.229927,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.137307,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.087482,
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        "best_return": -0.077533,
        "worst_return": -0.19708,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.04,
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        "typical_volume": 106850761.5,
        "trend": 6.441333,
        "fair_value": 5.221218,
        "relative_strength": 0.199353,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -6.10597,
        "energy": 14.099043,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.8,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.57,
        "volume": 69780221,
        "typical_volume": 106188330.8,
        "trend": 6.490667,
        "fair_value": 5.228846,
        "relative_strength": 10.326902,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 3.780336,
        "energy": 21.572343,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.62,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.64,
        "volume": 72802100,
        "typical_volume": 105243914.1,
        "trend": 6.58,
        "fair_value": 5.243269,
        "relative_strength": 21.196344,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 22.761582,
        "energy": 22.859817,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}