{ "ticker": { "uuid": "650055d8-66ad-4baf-adb7-38b558965af4", "symbol": "600159", "name": "Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate Development Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.601, "architecture_energy": 50.546, "architecture_maturity": 43.182, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.71, "rotation_up": 25.54, "upward_expansion": 8.25, "deceleration": 56.85, "rotation_down": 52.1, "downward_expansion": 81.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.328667, 2.334364, 2.551571, 2.684495 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.45, "trend_reference": 2.814, "distance_from_trend": -0.129353, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.811859, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.12869, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.53921, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.149306, "excess_performance": -0.106102, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.129353, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06852, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.12869, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.315996, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.145392, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.194927, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.149306, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.350251, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 85593950, "relative_activity": 0.949601, "balance": 0.350251, "dry_up": 0.97708, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096075, "annualized_volatility": 0.393885, "from_high_reference": -0.350133, "from_low_reference": 0.161137 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.814, "fair_value_reference": 2.811859, "structural_low": 2.11, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.020877, "positive_rate": 0.611111, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": 0.017272, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.380952, "worst_return": -0.239482, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.096709, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.089349, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.381356, "worst_return": -0.243446, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.14618, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.066058, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.347458, "worst_return": -0.265455, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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68.519997, "activity_lines": [ 2.271333, 2.328545, 2.580333, 2.708667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.45, "volume": 85593950, "typical_volume": 90136755.65, "trend": 2.814, "fair_value": 2.811859, "relative_strength": -14.53921, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.600628, "energy": 50.545594, "activity_lines": [ 2.328667, 2.334364, 2.551571, 2.684495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }