{ "ticker": { "uuid": "650787e2-24de-447b-a593-f86524c54d39", "symbol": "BKD", "name": "Brookdale Senior Living Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 65.787, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 38.254, "architecture_energy": 21.901, "architecture_maturity": 26.155, "architecture_confidence": 65.033, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.95, "rotation_up": 38.51, "upward_expansion": 60.43, "deceleration": 66.25, "rotation_down": 19.81, "downward_expansion": 12.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.625333, 14.703091, 14.232381, 14.184538 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 14.22, "trend_reference": 14.179667, "distance_from_trend": 0.002844, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.014167, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.774358, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.323024, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.117866, "excess_performance": -0.243491, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.002844, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098149, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.774358, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039059, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.05323, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074257, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.117866, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.571088, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21159822, "relative_activity": 1.059748, "balance": 1.571088, "dry_up": 1.189246, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088016, "annualized_volatility": 0.379618, "from_high_reference": -0.167934, "from_low_reference": 1.024199 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.179667, "fair_value_reference": 8.014167, "structural_low": 11.705, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.010573, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.002617, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.464124, "worst_return": -0.256684, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.094872, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": 0.033955, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.618123, "worst_return": -0.395722, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.132509, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.024417, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.544768, "worst_return": -0.403743, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.879973, "energy": 57.639296, "activity_lines": [ 15.024667, 14.425091, 14.028095, 14.046172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.15, "volume": 20330764, "typical_volume": 19614173.9, "trend": 13.947333, "fair_value": 7.880513, "relative_strength": 19.279166, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.836529, "energy": 56.956663, "activity_lines": [ 15.098, 14.640909, 14.145048, 14.132925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.6, "volume": 25353008, "typical_volume": 19755048.15, "trend": 14.072667, "fair_value": 7.95, "relative_strength": 12.79786, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.414385, "energy": 30.551921, "activity_lines": [ 14.888, 14.718364, 14.208381, 14.175032 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.22, "volume": 21159822, "typical_volume": 19966836.8, "trend": 14.179667, "fair_value": 8.014167, "relative_strength": 5.323024, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.253758, "energy": 21.901077, "activity_lines": [ 14.625333, 14.703091, 14.232381, 14.184538 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }