{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "650b3a32-6d6d-4d77-a71a-5ed7381d09df",
    "symbol": "WELINV",
    "name": "Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 60.843,
    "architecture_energy": 47.193,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.39,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.752,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.13,
        "rotation_up": 53.94,
        "upward_expansion": 82.65,
        "deceleration": 60.82,
        "rotation_down": 25.4,
        "downward_expansion": 6.98
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1861.133333,
        1836.52909,
        1776.555241,
        1672.810541
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 1851.0,
    "trend_reference": 1538.520003,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.203104,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 995.033975,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.860238,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 34.867274,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.425381,
    "excess_performance": 0.46909,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.203104,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133571,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.860238,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015925,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.348673,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.078767,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.425381,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.443781,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 398,
      "relative_activity": 0.170874,
      "balance": 3.443781,
      "dry_up": 0.304718,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.079495,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.248054,
      "from_high_reference": -0.065152,
      "from_low_reference": 1.139884
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1538.520003,
      "fair_value_reference": 995.033975,
      "structural_low": 1165.099976,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.02078,
        "positive_rate": 0.607143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.607143,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008669,
        "regime_survival": 0.821429,
        "best_return": 0.244251,
        "worst_return": -0.236903,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.065246,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.031058,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.285277,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.170299,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.160172,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.297,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.417512,
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1898.0,
        "volume": 525,
        "typical_volume": 2497.75,
        "trend": 1499.830001,
        "fair_value": 976.214103,
        "relative_strength": 46.324978,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1879.900024,
        "volume": 660,
        "typical_volume": 2362.8,
        "trend": 1518.83667,
        "fair_value": 985.700642,
        "relative_strength": 39.598681,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.110794,
        "energy": 49.248738,
        "activity_lines": [
          1856.939998,
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          1756.758575,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1851.0,
        "volume": 398,
        "typical_volume": 2329.2,
        "trend": 1538.520003,
        "fair_value": 995.033975,
        "relative_strength": 34.867274,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.842739,
        "energy": 47.192595,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}