{ "ticker": { "uuid": "650cd053-bdb9-4b21-93ee-a2c4af3a91ba", "symbol": "RELIABLE", "name": "Reliable Data Services Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 54.476, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 39.104, "architecture_energy": 20.297, "architecture_maturity": 29.053, "architecture_confidence": 93.209, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.14, "rotation_up": 31.17, "upward_expansion": 61.36, "deceleration": 84.99, "rotation_down": 24.58, "downward_expansion": 13.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 144.605333, 146.124182, 142.716381, 139.754022 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 147.119995, "trend_reference": 139.314, "distance_from_trend": 0.056032, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 93.500218, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.573472, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.369206, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.089209, "excess_performance": -0.0455, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.056032, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005305, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.573472, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06562, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.073692, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041208, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.089209, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.320195, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 211725, "relative_activity": 1.210789, "balance": 2.320195, "dry_up": 0.603888, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073969, "annualized_volatility": 0.381261, "from_high_reference": -0.159314, "from_low_reference": 0.839601 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 139.314, "fair_value_reference": 93.500218, "structural_low": 104.739998, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.042918, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.578947, "median_excess_return": 0.033768, "regime_survival": 0.526316, "best_return": 0.367627, "worst_return": -0.134926, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.155482, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.170156, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.540841, "worst_return": -0.209021, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.094028, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.083863, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.995089, "worst_return": -0.133211, 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"active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.190373, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.265175, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.289263, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.010601, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.10635, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": 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31.689651, "energy": 29.559184, "activity_lines": [ 148.224665, 146.935271, 140.365571, 139.076279 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 143.880005, "volume": 22915, "typical_volume": 180108.5, "trend": 140.272, "fair_value": 92.389478, "relative_strength": 10.573778, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.590449, "energy": 16.684432, "activity_lines": [ 146.430667, 146.923272, 141.287095, 139.307441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 139.740005, "volume": 52899, "typical_volume": 170418.15, "trend": 139.666, "fair_value": 92.915751, "relative_strength": 3.710704, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 9.720678, "energy": 9.175294, "activity_lines": [ 143.884669, 145.930183, 141.719334, 139.273119 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 147.119995, "volume": 211725, "typical_volume": 174865.35, "trend": 139.314, "fair_value": 93.500218, "relative_strength": 7.369206, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.103989, "energy": 20.297334, "activity_lines": [ 144.605333, 146.124182, 142.716381, 139.754022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }