{ "ticker": { "uuid": "650e1cfb-505c-4edb-98f7-0f15716aeb5d", "symbol": "CAMLINFINE", "name": "Camlin Fine Sciences Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -26.749, "architecture_energy": 22.38, "architecture_maturity": 27.77, "architecture_confidence": 71.69, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.02, "rotation_up": 6.07, "upward_expansion": 18.12, "deceleration": 67.09, "rotation_down": 53.94, "downward_expansion": 53.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 126.108001, 129.106908, 128.272333, 128.167419 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 126.580002, "trend_reference": 131.361334, "distance_from_trend": -0.036398, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 148.30022, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.146461, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.929014, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.243214, "excess_performance": -0.199505, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.036398, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067868, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.146461, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020132, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.16929, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.105674, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.243214, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.55372, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2325645, "relative_activity": 0.340633, "balance": 1.55372, "dry_up": 0.368908, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079767, "annualized_volatility": 0.487136, "from_high_reference": -0.461362, "from_low_reference": 0.315664 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 131.361334, "fair_value_reference": 148.30022, "structural_low": 96.209999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.008007, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.026417, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.350587, "worst_return": -0.218893, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.093871, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.062222, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.312303, "worst_return": -0.183736, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.054962, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.008012, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.251582, "worst_return": -0.350963, "sufficient": 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{ "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.129557, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.113709, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.136471, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 1.211711, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.144015, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", 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"2026-07-17", "close": 122.690002, "volume": 3365277, "typical_volume": 6777505.65, "trend": 133.801334, "fair_value": 148.897976, "relative_strength": -22.543735, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.130473, "energy": 16.343283, "activity_lines": [ 130.057999, 131.468908, 127.776, 129.464581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 124.470001, "volume": 2187182, "typical_volume": 6812943.55, "trend": 132.969, "fair_value": 148.691694, "relative_strength": -18.195955, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.368823, "energy": 23.789118, "activity_lines": [ 127.239333, 130.381817, 127.713, 128.862559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 127.849998, "volume": 2196635, "typical_volume": 6841119.5, "trend": 132.235667, "fair_value": 148.500348, "relative_strength": -16.646384, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.831042, "energy": 26.113951, "activity_lines": [ 126.601333, 129.925272, 128.033952, 128.532301 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 126.580002, "volume": 2325645, "typical_volume": 6827413.6, "trend": 131.361334, "fair_value": 148.30022, "relative_strength": -16.929014, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.749128, "energy": 22.380449, "activity_lines": [ 126.108001, 129.106908, 128.272333, 128.167419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }