{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "65253197-8ac4-44de-bb38-2d84c91aa067",
    "symbol": "600885",
    "name": "Hongfa Technology Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 54.363,
    "architecture_energy": 27.727,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.633,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.284,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.71,
        "rotation_up": 41.05,
        "upward_expansion": 72.06,
        "deceleration": 87.4,
        "rotation_down": 27.98,
        "downward_expansion": 10.06
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        34.610666,
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        33.505606,
        32.443475
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 35.41,
    "trend_reference": 31.428729,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.126676,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.940146,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.479105,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 19.144236,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.244874,
    "excess_performance": 0.288078,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.126676,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045654,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.479105,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077837,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.191442,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106762,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.244874,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.186049,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 88071217,
      "relative_activity": 0.984559,
      "balance": 1.186049,
      "dry_up": 1.105016,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.103318,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.494998,
      "from_high_reference": -0.123732,
      "from_low_reference": 0.474059
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.428729,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.940146,
      "structural_low": 24.427758,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.040785,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020822,
        "regime_survival": 0.363636,
        "best_return": 0.134513,
        "worst_return": -0.124428,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.113822,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.092813,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.336383,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.169194,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.178215,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.289375,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.020562,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048604,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.414222,
        "worst_return": -0.233381,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.048404,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": 0.034091,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031181,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.035593,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 23.640965,
        "relative_strength": 17.906291,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 96031716.8,
        "trend": 30.943012,
        "fair_value": 23.702853,
        "relative_strength": 12.913919,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.934913,
        "energy": 32.436794,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.11,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 34.150002,
        "volume": 92702857,
        "typical_volume": 93166973.05,
        "trend": 31.088009,
        "fair_value": 23.77843,
        "relative_strength": 20.216945,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.429863,
        "energy": 28.658593,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.984001,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 35.509998,
        "volume": 113837892,
        "typical_volume": 90677385.35,
        "trend": 31.250967,
        "fair_value": 23.858599,
        "relative_strength": 23.53212,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.385596,
        "energy": 28.149105,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.401333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 35.41,
        "volume": 88071217,
        "typical_volume": 89452437.45,
        "trend": 31.428729,
        "fair_value": 23.940146,
        "relative_strength": 19.144236,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.362607,
        "energy": 27.727328,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}