{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6525b639-526b-4ca0-aa63-90a739345be0", "symbol": "XFFE", "name": "Xtrackers II USD Overnight Rate Swap UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 63.871, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 52.786, "architecture_energy": 48.88, "architecture_maturity": 69.198, "architecture_confidence": 50.968, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.91, "rotation_up": 49.37, "upward_expansion": 71.97, "deceleration": 62.53, "rotation_down": 26.11, "downward_expansion": 19.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 186.713999, 186.756544, 185.391856, 184.393419 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 185.720001, "trend_reference": 182.931333, "distance_from_trend": 0.015244, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 181.401346, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.023807, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.247776, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.04074, "excess_performance": -0.130152, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.015244, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012219, "read": 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"activity_lines": [ 187.543996, 186.725271, 185.013475, 183.94944 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 186.440002, "volume": 8872, "typical_volume": 3055.3, "trend": 182.765666, "fair_value": 181.307372, "relative_strength": -9.653694, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.970964, "energy": 62.202003, "activity_lines": [ 187.216665, 186.83218, 185.240523, 184.202816 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 185.720001, "volume": 8341, "typical_volume": 3122.45, "trend": 182.931333, "fair_value": 181.401346, "relative_strength": -12.247776, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.786237, "energy": 48.879798, "activity_lines": [ 186.713999, 186.756544, 185.391856, 184.393419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }