{ "ticker": { "uuid": "65294adf-b723-435c-b427-bc63a551a269", "symbol": "300701", "name": "Senba Sensing Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.097, "architecture_energy": 58.347, "architecture_maturity": 74.367, "architecture_confidence": 89.856, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.74, "rotation_up": 19.27, "upward_expansion": 9.65, "deceleration": 60.35, "rotation_down": 62.64, "downward_expansion": 82.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.090667, 9.277091, 10.034663, 10.546333 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9.58, "trend_reference": 11.295044, "distance_from_trend": -0.15184, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.07284, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.048928, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.738038, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.254956, "excess_performance": -0.262355, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.15184, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082659, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.048928, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.250798, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.21738, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056548, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.254956, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.651573, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25170492, "relative_activity": 1.309562, "balance": 0.651573, "dry_up": 1.114773, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085878, "annualized_volatility": 0.337227, "from_high_reference": -0.390885, "from_low_reference": 0.196005 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.295044, "fair_value_reference": 10.07284, "structural_low": 8.01, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.020691, "positive_rate": 0.55, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": 0.009522, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.175243, "worst_return": -0.180706, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.07426, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.046619, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.287028, "worst_return": -0.18067, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.003762, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.058872, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.262513, "worst_return": -0.212267, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.89, "volume": 20643251, "typical_volume": 19251412.5, "trend": 11.716706, "fair_value": 10.096058, "relative_strength": -25.733135, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.944494, "energy": 89.462053, "activity_lines": [ 9.352667, 9.820775, 10.558082, 11.041247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.36, "volume": 18452161, "typical_volume": 18762206.75, "trend": 11.541453, "fair_value": 10.083763, "relative_strength": -29.953647, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.428267, "energy": 78.050393, "activity_lines": [ 8.97, 9.459212, 10.306092, 10.824685 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.05, "volume": 21440272, "typical_volume": 18869644.05, "trend": 11.403006, "fair_value": 10.074221, "relative_strength": -22.584394, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.086251, "energy": 65.866067, "activity_lines": [ 8.93, 9.290727, 10.138091, 10.663946 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.58, "volume": 25170492, "typical_volume": 19220544.25, "trend": 11.295044, "fair_value": 10.07284, "relative_strength": -21.738038, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.096713, "energy": 58.347358, "activity_lines": [ 9.090667, 9.277091, 10.034663, 10.546333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }