{ "ticker": { "uuid": "65367348-7ef4-438e-acbf-b684df2131d2", "symbol": "ETSY", "name": "Etsy, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.779, "architecture_energy": 70.156, "architecture_maturity": 44.919, "architecture_confidence": 82.077, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.87, "rotation_up": 75.37, "upward_expansion": 90.0, "deceleration": 53.81, "rotation_down": 17.64, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 72.174667, 70.073819, 64.425048, 59.996979 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 73.839996, "trend_reference": 55.115834, "distance_from_trend": 0.339724, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 54.898942, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.345017, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.320006, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.50617, "excess_performance": 0.331923, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.339724, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.136085, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.345017, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.379582, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.1232, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.205931, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.50617, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.337312, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1179, "relative_activity": 2.278041, "balance": 2.337312, "dry_up": 2.108492, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061318, "annualized_volatility": 0.531542, "from_high_reference": -0.027141, "from_low_reference": 0.988956 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.115834, "fair_value_reference": 54.898942, "structural_low": 37.125, "invalidation": "A 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"activity_lines": [ 65.349335, 61.540728, 56.648691, 53.92571 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 69.139999, "volume": 1088, "typical_volume": 407.15, "trend": 51.978833, "fair_value": 55.131058, "relative_strength": 7.672302, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.14138, "energy": 91.939431, "activity_lines": [ 67.185334, 63.422183, 58.205643, 55.082194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 72.660004, "volume": 1132, "typical_volume": 416.85, "trend": 52.849667, "fair_value": 55.022404, "relative_strength": 15.282779, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.004749, "energy": 93.992354, "activity_lines": [ 69.489335, 65.682183, 59.977239, 56.416463 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 71.440002, "volume": 1450, "typical_volume": 449.35, "trend": 53.674834, "fair_value": 54.899519, "relative_strength": 11.893771, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.45895, "energy": 84.567276, "activity_lines": [ 70.524002, 67.387638, 61.508168, 57.615839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 71.160004, "volume": 604, "typical_volume": 469.05, "trend": 54.4175, "fair_value": 54.873878, "relative_strength": 11.543964, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.192113, "energy": 74.95351, "activity_lines": [ 70.993336, 68.658184, 62.900477, 58.743915 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 73.839996, "volume": 1179, "typical_volume": 517.55, "trend": 55.115834, "fair_value": 54.898942, "relative_strength": 12.320006, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.779487, "energy": 70.156146, "activity_lines": [ 72.174667, 70.073819, 64.425048, 59.996979 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }