{ "ticker": { "uuid": "653e29cf-3357-4c45-b2a2-4fa0352cc144", "symbol": "6264", "name": "Kingland Property Corporation Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.426, "architecture_energy": 26.899, "architecture_maturity": 82.803, "architecture_confidence": 85.497, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.34, "rotation_up": 22.66, "upward_expansion": 2.43, "deceleration": 53.08, "rotation_down": 41.72, "downward_expansion": 73.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.047333, 6.063455, 6.075381, 6.165097 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.05, "trend_reference": 6.351667, "distance_from_trend": -0.047494, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.658141, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.301236, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -38.174503, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.14548, "excess_performance": -0.586852, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.047494, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059848, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.301236, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005315, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.381745, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064903, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.14548, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.491965, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 80254, "relative_activity": 0.269373, "balance": 1.491965, "dry_up": 0.376254, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043611, "annualized_volatility": 0.107388, "from_high_reference": -0.286557, "from_low_reference": 0.052174 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.351667, "fair_value_reference": 8.658141, "structural_low": 5.75, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.00982, "positive_rate": 0.413793, "directional_follow_through": 0.586207, "median_excess_return": -0.033333, "regime_survival": 0.862069, "best_return": 0.096882, "worst_return": -0.073222, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.048208, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.130112, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.118785, "worst_return": -0.117241, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.064277, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.076856, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.892265, "worst_return": -0.171034, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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-41.187921, "energy": 23.185987, "activity_lines": [ 6.094, 6.083455, 6.120143, 6.269032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.02, "volume": 78000, "typical_volume": 315909.55, "trend": 6.468, "fair_value": 8.68391, "relative_strength": -38.538973, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.897046, "energy": 27.630319, "activity_lines": [ 6.072, 6.073091, 6.102, 6.237376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.05, "volume": 140307, "typical_volume": 314409.9, "trend": 6.426667, "fair_value": 8.674808, "relative_strength": -36.458799, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.5343, "energy": 27.009415, "activity_lines": [ 6.059333, 6.069455, 6.089952, 6.210409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.06, "volume": 149827, "typical_volume": 311492.45, "trend": 6.385667, "fair_value": 8.665769, "relative_strength": -36.892877, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.240823, "energy": 28.442739, "activity_lines": [ 6.053333, 6.067273, 6.082333, 6.186753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 6.05, "volume": 80254, "typical_volume": 297928.75, "trend": 6.351667, "fair_value": 8.658141, "relative_strength": -38.174503, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.426447, "energy": 26.898981, "activity_lines": [ 6.047333, 6.063455, 6.075381, 6.165097 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }