{ "ticker": { "uuid": "654407dc-2ccd-408f-ad47-18fdf05cb568", "symbol": "WENU", "name": "WISDOMTREE ISSUER ICAV WT STRAT", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 57.4, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.119, "architecture_energy": 27.434, "architecture_maturity": 23.562, "architecture_confidence": 50.54, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.49, "rotation_up": 22.99, "upward_expansion": 16.81, "deceleration": 62.22, "rotation_down": 42.63, "downward_expansion": 64.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.364333, 14.3174, 14.604295, 14.649209 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 14.65, "trend_reference": 14.740467, "distance_from_trend": -0.006137, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.45996, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.175766, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.321283, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.033874, "excess_performance": -0.017361, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.006137, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037131, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.175766, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09986, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.003213, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.156813, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.033874, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.342299, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 61341, "relative_activity": 4.966822, "balance": 1.342299, "dry_up": 1.557916, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031042, "annualized_volatility": 0.253101, "from_high_reference": -0.138235, "from_low_reference": 0.373008 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.740467, "fair_value_reference": 12.45996, "structural_low": 13.218, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.01354, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.022259, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 10.1545, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 10.355, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": 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"2026-06-12", "close": 14.972, "volume": 590, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 14.614, "volume": 21486, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 13.971, "volume": 6, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 14.055, "volume": 11, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 14.161, "volume": 8397, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.032, "volume": 1924, "typical_volume": 10624.65, "trend": 14.689567, "fair_value": 12.387171, "relative_strength": -1.268135, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -42.016817, "energy": 67.885917, "activity_lines": [ 14.101667, 14.436927, 14.679257, 14.709262 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.222, "volume": 1242, "typical_volume": 9593.1, "trend": 14.710867, "fair_value": 12.409823, "relative_strength": -1.307434, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.398056, "energy": 69.080207, "activity_lines": [ 14.120133, 14.344109, 14.635, 14.679097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.331, "volume": 12455, "typical_volume": 9661.5, "trend": 14.7334, "fair_value": 12.433252, "relative_strength": -1.977606, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.164799, "energy": 43.34808, "activity_lines": [ 14.201067, 14.290836, 14.603976, 14.654589 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.65, "volume": 61341, "typical_volume": 12350.15, "trend": 14.740467, "fair_value": 12.45996, "relative_strength": -0.321283, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.119357, "energy": 27.433748, "activity_lines": [ 14.364333, 14.3174, 14.604295, 14.649209 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }