{ "ticker": { "uuid": "65471c57-c6c1-4eb2-a467-3f5a2fc3c815", "symbol": "UBE", "name": "Ubon Bio Ethanol Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.363, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 24.61, "architecture_energy": 20.679, "architecture_maturity": 39.144, "architecture_confidence": 47.746, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.18, "rotation_up": 56.05, "upward_expansion": 55.97, "deceleration": 56.83, "rotation_down": 8.21, "downward_expansion": 20.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.597333, 0.583636, 0.590667, 0.593953 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.59, "trend_reference": 0.572651, "distance_from_trend": 0.030296, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.632955, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.067864, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.200907, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.383236, "excess_performance": 0.190911, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.030296, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094594, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.067864, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1216, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.022009, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.205658, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.383236, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.124543, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15588100, "relative_activity": 0.155173, "balance": 1.124543, "dry_up": 0.54231, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08605, "annualized_volatility": 0.715913, "from_high_reference": -0.358696, "from_low_reference": 0.52156 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.572651, "fair_value_reference": 0.632955, "structural_low": 0.397454, "invalidation": "A 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"up", "direction": 0.38643, "energy": 18.969606, "activity_lines": [ 0.558, 0.560545, 0.597942, 0.58325 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.6, "volume": 65907700, "typical_volume": 135738145.0, "trend": 0.555305, "fair_value": 0.639776, "relative_strength": -2.962017, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.559829, "energy": 11.483036, "activity_lines": [ 0.572667, 0.565455, 0.597123, 0.586506 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.61, "volume": 122937800, "typical_volume": 140174695.0, "trend": 0.561743, "fair_value": 0.637508, "relative_strength": -1.367954, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.556111, "energy": 18.081959, "activity_lines": [ 0.588, 0.574, 0.596524, 0.590035 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.6, "volume": 13480600, "typical_volume": 134779045.0, "trend": 0.567525, "fair_value": 0.635118, "relative_strength": -1.545029, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.949175, "energy": 23.787668, "activity_lines": [ 0.596, 0.58, 0.59419, 0.592503 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.59, "volume": 15588100, "typical_volume": 100456525.0, "trend": 0.572651, "fair_value": 0.632955, "relative_strength": -2.200907, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.610303, "energy": 20.67901, "activity_lines": [ 0.597333, 0.583636, 0.590667, 0.593953 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }