{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "654d380c-11db-40f4-8c5c-ee0f02c353e3",
    "symbol": "APW",
    "name": "Aims Property Securities Fund",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 63.416,
    "architecture_energy": 64.648,
    "architecture_maturity": 73.341,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.256,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.93,
        "rotation_up": 50.82,
        "upward_expansion": 80.67,
        "deceleration": 74.33,
        "rotation_down": 27.69,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.962667,
        3.926182,
        3.703571,
        3.587806
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 3.92,
    "trend_reference": 3.451,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.135903,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.288045,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.713253,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.409274,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.25641,
    "excess_performance": 0.192705,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135903,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069414,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.713253,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.17446,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114093,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095765,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.25641,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.160248,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7350,
      "relative_activity": 2.971138,
      "balance": 0.160248,
      "dry_up": 1.033228,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.029435,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.245552,
      "from_high_reference": -0.066667,
      "from_low_reference": 0.306667
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.451,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.288045,
      "structural_low": 3.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.011425,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002049,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.281609,
        "worst_return": -0.076023,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.054276,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003101,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.428571,
        "worst_return": -0.116981,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.054839,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.027524,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.660714,
        "worst_return": -0.090566,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.14196,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.093396,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.886905,
        "worst_return": -0.103846,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-02-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.066667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-05-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.117647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-07",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.045752,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.040625,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022293,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.018692,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.024465,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.916667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022082,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.025641,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.064327,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-06-05",
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        "return": 0.085443,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.101124,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 8104.1,
        "trend": 1.2295,
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 3.2,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 5048.7,
        "trend": 3.219333,
        "fair_value": 2.079551,
        "relative_strength": 1.832807,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -18.472466,
        "energy": 27.875896,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.194667,
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          3.253857,
          3.236215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 3.2,
        "volume": 12655,
        "typical_volume": 5402.65,
        "trend": 3.220333,
        "fair_value": 2.092212,
        "relative_strength": 2.873901,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -15.734523,
        "energy": 23.910048,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.197333,
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          3.250619,
          3.234968
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 3.2,
        "volume": 2001,
        "typical_volume": 5478.25,
        "trend": 3.221333,
        "fair_value": 2.104904,
        "relative_strength": 2.307559,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -13.481644,
        "energy": 17.625034,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.2,
          3.21,
          3.246905,
          3.233656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 5061.85,
        "trend": 3.227,
        "fair_value": 2.11891,
        "relative_strength": 7.685159,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 30.229608,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.27,
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          3.26281,
          3.245828
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 3.43,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 4909.0,
        "trend": 3.229333,
        "fair_value": 2.133077,
        "relative_strength": 9.297141,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.467313,
        "energy": 58.043674,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.332667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 3.56,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 4150.0,
        "trend": 3.242333,
        "fair_value": 2.148109,
        "relative_strength": 10.678496,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.717686,
        "energy": 86.519827,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.423333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3869.3,
        "trend": 3.256667,
        "fair_value": 2.163718,
        "relative_strength": 11.142466,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.997032,
        "energy": 93.925472,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.503333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 3.7,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3868.05,
        "trend": 3.274,
        "fair_value": 2.179615,
        "relative_strength": 14.447255,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.881973,
        "energy": 95.964659,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.59,
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          3.37381,
          3.331935
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 4.09,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3789.55,
        "trend": 3.305333,
        "fair_value": 2.198365,
        "relative_strength": 24.639575,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 99.771515,
        "energy": 99.879272,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.773333,
          3.591818,
          3.445524,
          3.384581
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 4.2,
        "volume": 620,
        "typical_volume": 3075.6,
        "trend": 3.339667,
        "fair_value": 2.217468,
        "relative_strength": 27.760898,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 99.160838,
        "energy": 99.693071,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.948,
          3.726545,
          3.523476,
          3.442301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.92,
        "volume": 1998,
        "typical_volume": 2084.95,
        "trend": 3.366333,
        "fair_value": 2.234776,
        "relative_strength": 18.739263,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.649137,
        "energy": 88.997913,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.978,
          3.792182,
          3.57,
          3.479742
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.96,
        "volume": 747,
        "typical_volume": 2121.9,
        "trend": 3.395,
        "fair_value": 2.25234,
        "relative_strength": 19.639134,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.310051,
        "energy": 88.508687,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.997333,
          3.852,
          3.617857,
          3.518043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.98,
        "volume": 129,
        "typical_volume": 2128.35,
        "trend": 3.423667,
        "fair_value": 2.270385,
        "relative_strength": 17.049268,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.873981,
        "energy": 67.807799,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.999333,
          3.901636,
          3.664952,
          3.555785
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.92,
        "volume": 7350,
        "typical_volume": 2473.8,
        "trend": 3.451,
        "fair_value": 2.288045,
        "relative_strength": 11.409274,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.415632,
        "energy": 64.647636,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.962667,
          3.926182,
          3.703571,
          3.587806
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}