{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6556ed9e-d393-4b47-9548-4254a9a6b271", "symbol": "605138", "name": "Sunrise Manufacture Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.763, "architecture_energy": 65.068, "architecture_maturity": 28.542, "architecture_confidence": 87.281, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.01, "rotation_up": 14.93, "upward_expansion": 12.53, "deceleration": 45.57, "rotation_down": 67.9, "downward_expansion": 85.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.522667, 5.657176, 6.163513, 6.423819 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.68, "trend_reference": 6.736027, "distance_from_trend": -0.156773, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.55905, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.134021, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.778385, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.235532, "excess_performance": -0.192328, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.156773, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072778, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.134021, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.294483, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.197784, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.179138, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.235532, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.497424, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21206700, "relative_activity": 0.864435, "balance": 0.497424, "dry_up": 1.297008, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084218, "annualized_volatility": 0.368932, "from_high_reference": -0.398942, "from_low_reference": 0.142857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.736027, "fair_value_reference": 6.55905, "structural_low": 4.97, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.014345, "positive_rate": 0.380952, "directional_follow_through": 0.619048, "median_excess_return": -0.03252, "regime_survival": 0.809524, "best_return": 0.314685, "worst_return": -0.25, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.059824, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.011478, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.235417, "worst_return": -0.270419, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.157155, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.092267, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.13594, "worst_return": -0.325762, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 22748660.55, "trend": 6.893027, "fair_value": 6.616737, "relative_strength": -22.344823, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.96289, "energy": 86.795293, "activity_lines": [ 5.701333, 6.029617, 6.488, 6.685093 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.2, "volume": 34171200, "typical_volume": 23595370.85, "trend": 6.828027, "fair_value": 6.595358, "relative_strength": -25.053095, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.888076, "energy": 80.852799, "activity_lines": [ 5.507333, 5.81001, 6.343235, 6.575865 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.57, "volume": 24557302, "typical_volume": 24191301.45, "trend": 6.778694, "fair_value": 6.577227, "relative_strength": -19.64326, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.722926, "energy": 76.390481, "activity_lines": [ 5.494, 5.705726, 6.244183, 6.494702 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.68, "volume": 21206700, "typical_volume": 24532431.5, "trend": 6.736027, "fair_value": 6.55905, "relative_strength": -19.778385, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.762829, "energy": 65.068051, "activity_lines": [ 5.522667, 5.657176, 6.163513, 6.423819 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }