{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6558e23b-2857-4056-869d-4c4a54652161", "symbol": "VTR", "name": "Ventas Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.618, "architecture_energy": 64.805, "architecture_maturity": 15.021, "architecture_confidence": 79.259, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.57, "rotation_up": 69.59, "upward_expansion": 86.66, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 10.82, "downward_expansion": 13.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 95.019333, 92.835429, 89.72975, 88.105117 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 93.36, "trend_reference": 85.827658, "distance_from_trend": 0.087761, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 61.792577, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.510861, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.160839, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.138142, "excess_performance": 0.012517, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087761, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052073, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.510861, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011277, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.041608, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009116, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.138142, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.282028, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15621607, "relative_activity": 0.809327, "balance": 1.282028, "dry_up": 0.868629, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063815, "annualized_volatility": 0.255077, "from_high_reference": -0.081102, "from_low_reference": 0.434046 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 85.827658, "fair_value_reference": 61.792577, "structural_low": 77.620466, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.001869, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.018083, "regime_survival": 0.62963, "best_return": 0.131719, "worst_return": -0.123266, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.062997, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.060026, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.310088, "worst_return": -0.153382, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.001498, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.11315, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.282154, "worst_return": -0.347941, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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86.202444, 85.542647, 84.605264 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 90.66, "volume": 15204981, "typical_volume": 19048445.9, "trend": 83.311425, "fair_value": 60.423442, "relative_strength": 5.162206, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.670949, "energy": 57.191289, "activity_lines": [ 89.022139, 87.038406, 86.070729, 85.108976 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 96.1, "volume": 14445949, "typical_volume": 18983719.85, "trend": 83.910903, "fair_value": 60.748486, "relative_strength": 12.740413, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.897062, "energy": 75.407041, "activity_lines": [ 91.925873, 88.806142, 87.091844, 85.934045 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 100.53, "volume": 13185324, "typical_volume": 19085395.4, "trend": 84.64093, "fair_value": 61.110152, "relative_strength": 17.988357, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.0176, "energy": 85.981384, "activity_lines": [ 95.506771, 91.209368, 88.484939, 87.006245 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 93.51, "volume": 23812175, "typical_volume": 19435775.85, "trend": 85.19655, "fair_value": 61.445618, "relative_strength": 8.243129, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.199728, "energy": 73.938113, "activity_lines": [ 95.454, 92.089156, 89.132337, 87.578443 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 93.36, "volume": 15621607, "typical_volume": 19301978.85, "trend": 85.827658, "fair_value": 61.792577, "relative_strength": 4.160839, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.617549, "energy": 64.804822, "activity_lines": [ 95.019333, 92.835429, 89.72975, 88.105117 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }