{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6571dfb4-57bf-4e76-98cd-fd2759578ed8", "symbol": "603203", "name": "Quick Intelligent Equipment Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -6.037, "architecture_energy": 23.872, "architecture_maturity": 60.563, "architecture_confidence": 64.264, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.26, "rotation_up": 12.15, "upward_expansion": 20.98, "deceleration": 78.95, "rotation_down": 60.73, "downward_expansion": 33.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.568667, 49.147986, 49.026301, 46.59031 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 44.48, "trend_reference": 43.627769, "distance_from_trend": 0.019534, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.934179, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.592315, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 16.815432, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.179841, "excess_performance": 0.223045, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.019534, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.185716, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.592315, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.165116, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.168154, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085223, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.179841, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.730883, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 62516591, "relative_activity": 1.151034, "balance": 1.730883, "dry_up": 1.136352, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.270688, "annualized_volatility": 0.936954, "from_high_reference": -0.424431, "from_low_reference": 0.684848 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.627769, "fair_value_reference": 27.934179, "structural_low": 28.823266, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.017662, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.003695, "regime_survival": 0.357143, "best_return": 0.439846, "worst_return": -0.31958, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.009523, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.011993, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.545143, "worst_return": -0.298698, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.100447, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.041101, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.288811, "worst_return": -0.2584, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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62.620615, 57.154645, 49.329232, 45.87916 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 59.490002, "volume": 119881893, "typical_volume": 46300758.2, "trend": 42.605102, "fair_value": 27.591584, "relative_strength": 58.534526, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.338978, "energy": 60.117917, "activity_lines": [ 62.420667, 58.499463, 50.733789, 47.031046 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 43.709999, "volume": 74527024, "typical_volume": 49293288.35, "trend": 43.052102, "fair_value": 27.684941, "relative_strength": 22.547291, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.326893, "energy": 34.196604, "activity_lines": [ 56.372667, 56.542811, 50.538774, 47.102329 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.299999, "volume": 58560030, "typical_volume": 51090500.25, "trend": 43.378769, "fair_value": 27.762752, "relative_strength": 10.738591, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.276924, "energy": 17.955383, "activity_lines": [ 49.880667, 53.844233, 49.999902, 46.924774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.080002, "volume": 51273021, "typical_volume": 52111950.25, "trend": 43.365436, "fair_value": 27.821804, "relative_strength": 0.885064, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.830273, "energy": 21.342508, "activity_lines": [ 43.694001, 50.741531, 49.155554, 46.518402 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.48, "volume": 62516591, "typical_volume": 54313400.0, "trend": 43.627769, "fair_value": 27.934179, "relative_strength": 16.815432, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.036729, "energy": 23.871559, "activity_lines": [ 42.568667, 49.147986, 49.026301, 46.59031 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }