{ "ticker": { "uuid": "659d370e-b49f-41b4-9d5b-056af0d26160", "symbol": "GFAI", "name": "Guardforce AI Co Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.964, "architecture_energy": 64.173, "architecture_maturity": 98.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.407, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.2, "rotation_up": 14.29, "upward_expansion": 14.19, "deceleration": 38.68, "rotation_down": 64.32, "downward_expansion": 87.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.34938, 0.371291, 0.415815, 0.440044 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.3519, "trend_reference": 0.470087, "distance_from_trend": -0.251415, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.714963, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.794806, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -55.304587, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.180484, "excess_performance": -0.367938, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.251415, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.209456, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.794806, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032171, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.553046, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033653, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.180484, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.750242, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 736772, "relative_activity": 0.189514, "balance": 0.750242, "dry_up": 0.237789, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.214614, "annualized_volatility": 0.902918, "from_high_reference": -0.745, "from_low_reference": 0.153392 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.470087, "fair_value_reference": 1.714963, "structural_low": 0.3051, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.057026, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.074338, "regime_survival": 0.885714, "best_return": 0.892744, "worst_return": -0.398785, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.049391, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.054789, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.658314, "worst_return": -0.526449, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.162214, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.360998, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": -0.052174, "worst_return": -0.479499, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }