{ "ticker": { "uuid": "65a1d601-e6ab-4ed2-a27e-8a1d69d7f39b", "symbol": "BKS", "name": "BKS Bank AG", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 74.843, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.243, "architecture_energy": 68.348, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 69.125, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.72, "rotation_up": 56.66, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.51, "rotation_down": 30.0, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.6, 21.563636, 21.327273, 21.025226 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 21.6, "trend_reference": 20.492264, "distance_from_trend": 0.054056, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.523152, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.307257, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.465675, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.152174, "excess_performance": -0.022073, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054056, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072201, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.307257, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006027, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.074657, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046344, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.152174, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.336885, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5174, "relative_activity": 1.074626, "balance": 2.336885, "dry_up": 0.83458, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.00463, "annualized_volatility": 0.084468, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.293669 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.492264, "fair_value_reference": 16.523152, "structural_low": 18.747171, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.009346, "positive_rate": 0.548387, "directional_follow_through": 0.548387, "median_excess_return": -0.001739, "regime_survival": 0.741935, "best_return": 0.078947, "worst_return": -0.061728, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.005714, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.027693, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.130435, "worst_return": -0.1, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.049645, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.092908, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.200316, "worst_return": -0.115827, "sufficient": true }, { 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20.763096 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.6, "volume": 5439, "typical_volume": 5826.0, "trend": 20.25, "fair_value": 16.404225, "relative_strength": -5.114456, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.868116, "energy": 70.460687, "activity_lines": [ 21.586667, 21.505455, 21.205454, 20.858848 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.6, "volume": 2965, "typical_volume": 5716.0, "trend": 20.371132, "fair_value": 16.467878, "relative_strength": -4.879395, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.596371, "energy": 68.863606, "activity_lines": [ 21.6, 21.538182, 21.269901, 20.945944 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.6, "volume": 5174, "typical_volume": 4814.7, "trend": 20.492264, "fair_value": 16.523152, "relative_strength": -7.465675, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.243187, "energy": 68.348483, "activity_lines": [ 21.6, 21.563636, 21.327273, 21.025226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }