{ "ticker": { "uuid": "65a97963-c724-4a7b-aaf0-1365fbfd7189", "symbol": "00961", "name": "Franklin Templeton SinoAm Taiwan ESG High Dividend ETF", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.142, "architecture_energy": 65.563, "architecture_maturity": 76.702, "architecture_confidence": 71.97, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.88, "rotation_up": 56.49, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 67.36, "rotation_down": 27.66, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.828726, 12.70349, 12.199918, 11.661391 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.04, "trend_reference": 10.998023, "distance_from_trend": 0.185668, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.57858, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.361371, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.446663, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.349265, "excess_performance": -0.030047, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.185668, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.119229, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.361371, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.178447, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.044467, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.184128, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.349265, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.604915, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 89368134, "relative_activity": 2.510477, "balance": 1.604915, "dry_up": 2.374915, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039922, "annualized_volatility": 0.203813, "from_high_reference": -0.029218, "from_low_reference": 0.538817 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.998023, "fair_value_reference": 9.57858, "structural_low": 9.441791, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.03543, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.056002, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.209008, "worst_return": 0.016161, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.292029, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.18431, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.292029, "worst_return": 0.292029, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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"modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.851417, "energy": 60.818642, "activity_lines": [ 12.454487, 12.430467, 11.733338, 11.24106 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.75, "volume": 44385995, "typical_volume": 31664634.9, "trend": 10.74026, "fair_value": 9.50431, "relative_strength": -6.278854, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.35514, "energy": 63.913073, "activity_lines": [ 12.540368, 12.523568, 11.886661, 11.378768 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.95, "volume": 63224744, "typical_volume": 32566508.6, "trend": 10.869091, "fair_value": 9.54136, "relative_strength": -3.16141, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.461644, "energy": 63.080841, "activity_lines": [ 12.690756, 12.619112, 12.045998, 11.521332 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.04, "volume": 89368134, "typical_volume": 35598065.7, "trend": 10.998023, "fair_value": 9.57858, "relative_strength": -4.446663, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.141635, "energy": 65.563262, "activity_lines": [ 12.828726, 12.70349, 12.199918, 11.661391 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }