{ "ticker": { "uuid": "65be9791-073c-405a-9ea2-396175cfb51d", "symbol": "GOSOL", "name": "Gosol Energy Group AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 55.812, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 2.797, "architecture_energy": 6.903, "architecture_maturity": 28.606, "architecture_confidence": 47.402, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.55, "rotation_up": 25.59, "upward_expansion": 44.82, "deceleration": 71.0, "rotation_down": 28.28, "downward_expansion": 31.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.6236, 0.634036, 0.651905, 0.636247 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.582, "trend_reference": 0.601967, "distance_from_trend": -0.033169, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.973154, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.401944, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.363812, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.344111, "excess_performance": 0.282616, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.033169, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011879, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.401944, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.116121, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.193638, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.139606, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.344111, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.477323, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 440780, "relative_activity": 1.324909, "balance": 0.477323, "dry_up": 0.901501, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.160058, "annualized_volatility": 0.651161, "from_high_reference": -0.353333, "from_low_reference": 0.52356 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.601967, "fair_value_reference": 0.973154, "structural_low": 0.382, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.043266, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.074749, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.012539, "worst_return": -0.099071, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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11.349081, "activity_lines": [ 0.645867, 0.653309, 0.657648, 0.626867 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.67, "volume": 235722, "typical_volume": 371530.35, "trend": 0.592767, "fair_value": 0.981428, "relative_strength": -5.110106, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.989337, "energy": 17.444921, "activity_lines": [ 0.655067, 0.6536, 0.66081, 0.632138 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.622, "volume": 145999, "typical_volume": 356868.7, "trend": 0.595633, "fair_value": 0.978664, "relative_strength": -12.630698, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.422391, "energy": 12.948136, "activity_lines": [ 0.646133, 0.646073, 0.658581, 0.634024 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.648, "volume": 377170, "typical_volume": 332404.6, "trend": 0.5999, "fair_value": 0.976139, "relative_strength": -9.425944, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.170623, "energy": 12.470494, "activity_lines": [ 0.646133, 0.645782, 0.658676, 0.637402 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.582, "volume": 440780, "typical_volume": 332687.0, "trend": 0.601967, "fair_value": 0.973154, "relative_strength": -19.363812, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.796675, "energy": 6.902767, "activity_lines": [ 0.6236, 0.634036, 0.651905, 0.636247 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }