{ "ticker": { "uuid": "65bfd803-8923-4af6-b919-55971b583b98", "symbol": "SUZLON", "name": "Suzlon Energy Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 62.237, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -13.938, "architecture_energy": 34.094, "architecture_maturity": 37.407, "architecture_confidence": 78.516, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.63, "rotation_up": 14.03, "upward_expansion": 44.45, "deceleration": 79.62, "rotation_down": 50.09, "downward_expansion": 36.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 49.835333, 52.277454, 53.319095, 51.712559 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 48.150002, "trend_reference": 49.761667, "distance_from_trend": -0.032388, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 52.463718, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.082223, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.014616, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.00229, "excess_performance": 0.045999, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.032388, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000167, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.082223, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.198654, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.070146, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105882, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.00229, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.635427, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 238664530, "relative_activity": 0.693431, "balance": 0.635427, "dry_up": 1.030332, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066363, "annualized_volatility": 0.375905, "from_high_reference": -0.25866, "from_low_reference": 0.260801 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.761667, "fair_value_reference": 52.463718, "structural_low": 38.189999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.016713, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.003338, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.250627, "worst_return": -0.113675, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.044118, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.056238, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.633803, "worst_return": -0.221284, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.38377, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.278889, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.033149, "worst_return": -0.135912, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.644146, "energy": 26.400954, "activity_lines": [ 54.648, 55.350364, 53.926858, 51.802796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 52.279999, "volume": 230976156, "typical_volume": 335639930.45, "trend": 50.005667, "fair_value": 52.094743, "relative_strength": 3.103123, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.867281, "energy": 26.454416, "activity_lines": [ 53.466666, 54.781455, 54.040429, 51.947549 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.009998, "volume": 664496925, "typical_volume": 349129362.5, "trend": 49.796667, "fair_value": 52.284551, "relative_strength": -7.111137, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -12.12794, "energy": 26.687406, "activity_lines": [ 51.323332, 53.464545, 53.68881, 51.818796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.150002, "volume": 238664530, "typical_volume": 344179006.5, "trend": 49.761667, "fair_value": 52.463718, "relative_strength": -7.014616, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -13.93807, "energy": 34.094404, "activity_lines": [ 49.835333, 52.277454, 53.319095, 51.712559 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }