{ "ticker": { "uuid": "65cd4314-eff6-48ea-8ff5-f8c422df900b", "symbol": "8069", "name": "E Ink Holdings Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 78.88, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 2.796, "architecture_energy": 5.733, "architecture_maturity": 41.251, "architecture_confidence": 64.993, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 64.32, "rotation_up": 20.33, "upward_expansion": 46.74, "deceleration": 82.52, "rotation_down": 30.27, "downward_expansion": 27.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 182.407452, 186.627248, 187.419625, 180.529504 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 165.5, "trend_reference": 174.172139, "distance_from_trend": -0.049791, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 211.371248, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.217017, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -38.724669, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.008411, "excess_performance": -0.449783, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.049791, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012252, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.217017, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.177321, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.387247, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08173, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.008411, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.682497, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 72544489, "relative_activity": 1.556896, "balance": 0.682497, "dry_up": 1.127854, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.161817, "annualized_volatility": 0.656447, "from_high_reference": -0.401926, "from_low_reference": 0.267031 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 174.172139, "fair_value_reference": 211.371248, "structural_low": 130.62034, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.002198, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": -0.014369, "regime_survival": 0.473684, "best_return": 0.262162, "worst_return": -0.182844, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.079781, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.008403, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.723701, "worst_return": -0.234763, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.020316, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.060916, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.844106, "worst_return": 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"2026-07-24", "close": 191.0, "volume": 39154931, "typical_volume": 43651738.8, "trend": 173.883223, "fair_value": 211.708303, "relative_strength": -29.215235, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.560743, "energy": 17.979162, "activity_lines": [ 189.287956, 193.142919, 185.211735, 178.699916 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 189.0, "volume": 40793287, "typical_volume": 43599684.9, "trend": 174.103733, "fair_value": 211.66692, "relative_strength": -28.085093, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.5289, "energy": 16.008766, "activity_lines": [ 188.628816, 191.532672, 186.683059, 179.675191 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 196.0, "volume": 57719477, "typical_volume": 44082006.85, "trend": 174.154428, "fair_value": 211.604936, "relative_strength": -26.301256, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.402039, "energy": 16.670295, "activity_lines": [ 190.281264, 191.699389, 188.623682, 181.087854 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 165.5, "volume": 72544489, "typical_volume": 46595604.45, "trend": 174.172139, "fair_value": 211.371248, "relative_strength": -38.724669, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.79617, "energy": 5.732649, "activity_lines": [ 182.407452, 186.627248, 187.419625, 180.529504 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }