{ "ticker": { "uuid": "65d987c4-7898-4bd9-a37c-fd3255b81de0", "symbol": "6179", "name": "ATE Energy International Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 26.934, "architecture_energy": 13.581, "architecture_maturity": 27.23, "architecture_confidence": 43.014, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.05, "rotation_up": 38.81, "upward_expansion": 35.53, "deceleration": 43.78, "rotation_down": 34.94, "downward_expansion": 23.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.72128, 25.637581, 25.103406, 25.032867 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 27.049999, "trend_reference": 25.325167, "distance_from_trend": 0.068107, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 27.841559, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.028431, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -30.900345, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.014531, "excess_performance": -0.426841, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.068107, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051558, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.028431, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106118, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.309003, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095561, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.014531, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.179244, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7456485, "relative_activity": 0.937312, "balance": 1.179244, "dry_up": 0.788295, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090775, "annualized_volatility": 0.394297, "from_high_reference": -0.278939, "from_low_reference": 0.260619 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.325167, "fair_value_reference": 27.841559, "structural_low": 21.45772, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.005367, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.008303, "regime_survival": 0.266667, "best_return": 0.034546, "worst_return": -0.068109, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.007133, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.024408, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.314585, "worst_return": -0.108856, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.009383, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.128083, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.102738, "worst_return": -0.103691, 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{ "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.100324, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.03858, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.019678, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.007194, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.001859, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.015747, 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"gate": "down", "direction": -16.298431, "energy": 11.796453, "activity_lines": [ 25.241873, 25.171642, 24.770023, 24.97313 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.814632, "volume": 4704048, "typical_volume": 9368129.7, "trend": 25.46447, "fair_value": 27.878612, "relative_strength": -37.001134, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.884588, "energy": 16.743444, "activity_lines": [ 24.67556, 24.965412, 24.682106, 24.854968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.564362, "volume": 8950379, "typical_volume": 8178361.5, "trend": 25.392453, "fair_value": 27.855881, "relative_strength": -30.596789, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.039136, "energy": 11.259528, "activity_lines": [ 25.133848, 25.285916, 24.868228, 24.925928 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 27.049999, "volume": 7456485, "typical_volume": 7955175.05, "trend": 25.325167, "fair_value": 27.841559, "relative_strength": -30.900345, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.934491, "energy": 13.581443, "activity_lines": [ 25.72128, 25.637581, 25.103406, 25.032867 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }