{ "ticker": { "uuid": "65e17248-ca97-4705-84a4-a9137155469c", "symbol": "MSCL", "name": "Satellos Bioscience Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 32.781, "architecture_energy": 67.002, "architecture_maturity": 19.341, "architecture_confidence": 81.984, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.44, "rotation_up": 77.13, "upward_expansion": 62.25, "deceleration": 12.09, "rotation_down": 14.23, "downward_expansion": 30.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.640667, 12.475455, 11.269952, 11.284237 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 13.73, "trend_reference": 11.767667, "distance_from_trend": 0.166756, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.148397, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.684994, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 19.044002, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.144548, "excess_performance": -0.26497, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.166756, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087417, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.684994, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.358193, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.19044, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.205631, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.144548, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.562453, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69000, "relative_activity": 0.844243, "balance": 1.562453, "dry_up": 1.446837, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110763, "annualized_volatility": 1.004699, "from_high_reference": -0.276607, "from_low_reference": 1.158805 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.767667, "fair_value_reference": 8.148397, "structural_low": 7.67, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.0375, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.030576, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.428571, "worst_return": -0.125, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.0875, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.069005, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.3, "worst_return": -0.125, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.007812, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.046113, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.125, "worst_return": -0.140625, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.325, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.305715, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.325, "worst_return": 0.325, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.296875, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.177215, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.014925, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.013889, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.217391, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.083333, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.041812, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.316022, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.158974, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.532419, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.015771, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 4.68, "volume": 14716, "typical_volume": 39171.9, "trend": 5.692, "fair_value": 12.091538, "relative_strength": -2.58615, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -48.121272, "energy": 56.839291, "activity_lines": [ 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"2026-07-10", "close": 13.53, "volume": 363100, "typical_volume": 99090.0, "trend": 11.124667, "fair_value": 7.937821, "relative_strength": 24.84929, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 13.666209, "energy": 21.967134, "activity_lines": [ 11.080667, 10.190364, 10.081571, 10.73729 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.29, "volume": 193500, "typical_volume": 103865.0, "trend": 11.262333, "fair_value": 7.982756, "relative_strength": 12.908487, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.800939, "energy": 37.628118, "activity_lines": [ 11.79, 10.627273, 10.245524, 10.812473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.95, "volume": 153300, "typical_volume": 104845.0, "trend": 11.459333, "fair_value": 8.039103, "relative_strength": 26.594687, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.186064, "energy": 60.038952, "activity_lines": [ 12.768, 11.329091, 10.590048, 10.985871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.0, "volume": 57200, "typical_volume": 87185.0, "trend": 11.646, "fair_value": 8.095, "relative_strength": 26.369411, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.274158, "energy": 69.33995, "activity_lines": [ 13.376, 11.967273, 10.950048, 11.149785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.73, "volume": 69000, "typical_volume": 81730.0, "trend": 11.767667, "fair_value": 8.148397, "relative_strength": 19.044002, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.78143, "energy": 67.001669, "activity_lines": [ 13.640667, 12.475455, 11.269952, 11.284237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }