{ "ticker": { "uuid": "65ec78a0-a7f2-40f0-beb8-33a12ca92bbd", "symbol": "RF", "name": "Eurazeo SE", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 71.441, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.881, "architecture_energy": 87.324, "architecture_maturity": 23.028, "architecture_confidence": 70.168, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.67, "rotation_up": 82.14, "upward_expansion": 91.51, "deceleration": 44.88, "rotation_down": 13.4, "downward_expansion": 22.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.505334, 45.805091, 44.781468, 44.123523 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 53.5, "trend_reference": 44.110916, "distance_from_trend": 0.212852, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 57.120017, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.063376, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.243217, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.156863, "excess_performance": 0.103551, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.212852, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042528, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.063376, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.156171, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.052432, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.169182, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.156863, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.606131, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 812974, "relative_activity": 1.920499, "balance": 1.606131, "dry_up": 1.309609, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.051547, "annualized_volatility": 0.392236, "from_high_reference": -0.088207, "from_low_reference": 0.518035 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.110916, "fair_value_reference": 57.120017, "structural_low": 35.242919, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.032824, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.024865, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.0276, "worst_return": -0.076078, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.117072, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.061674, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.112616, "worst_return": -0.193196, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.21623, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.193672, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.133444, "worst_return": -0.276638, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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42.79475, 43.071896 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47.68, "volume": 485036, "typical_volume": 515306.5, "trend": 44.028465, "fair_value": 57.085887, "relative_strength": -2.796259, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 19.930442, "energy": 15.228929, "activity_lines": [ 43.96, 43.353455, 43.315104, 43.302811 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.220001, "volume": 514463, "typical_volume": 477854.4, "trend": 43.9705, "fair_value": 57.083524, "relative_strength": -5.016537, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.730765, "energy": 39.422802, "activity_lines": [ 45.413334, 44.020728, 43.768546, 43.508717 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 53.5, "volume": 812974, "typical_volume": 423313.95, "trend": 44.110916, "fair_value": 57.120017, "relative_strength": 5.243217, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.880588, "energy": 87.323679, "activity_lines": [ 48.505334, 45.805091, 44.781468, 44.123523 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }