{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "65ed4e74-0dbb-43e5-b5a2-d7e07efab14c",
    "symbol": "USG",
    "name": "USCF ETF TRUST GOLD STRATEGY PLUS INCOME ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 68.114,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -53.232,
    "architecture_energy": 46.999,
    "architecture_maturity": 52.381,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.893,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.9,
        "rotation_up": 25.9,
        "upward_expansion": 19.03,
        "deceleration": 65.9,
        "rotation_down": 51.52,
        "downward_expansion": 73.7
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        32.755387,
        32.693289,
        33.755428,
        34.781255
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 33.9802,
    "trend_reference": 36.064223,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.057786,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 25.951227,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.309387,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.761356,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.121516,
    "excess_performance": -0.247141,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.057786,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010521,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.309387,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.203101,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.117614,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.127957,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.121516,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.715605,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 20977,
      "relative_activity": 0.727268,
      "balance": 1.715605,
      "dry_up": 1.729399,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.039281,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.23411,
      "from_high_reference": -0.194265,
      "from_low_reference": 0.235193
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 36.064223,
      "fair_value_reference": 25.951227,
      "structural_low": 31.49,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.006729,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006555,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.02548,
        "worst_return": 0.001541,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.051404,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012865,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.051404,
        "worst_return": 0.051404,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.071096,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.092013,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.071096,
        "worst_return": 0.071096,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.277042,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018582,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.277042,
        "worst_return": 0.277042,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-05-12",
        "end": "2023-06-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.024393,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-06-16",
        "end": "2023-08-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.036337,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-08-25",
        "end": "2023-10-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2023-12-01",
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        "return": 0.03737,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-02-02",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-02-09",
        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.024079,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-06-14",
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        "return": 0.064422,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.021036,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-17",
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        "return": 0.023556,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 30372.55,
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 25578.5,
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        "fair_value": 25.460247,
        "relative_strength": -12.183223,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 25272.2,
        "trend": 36.420907,
        "fair_value": 25.557977,
        "relative_strength": -13.640196,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -70.286873,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 31.8472,
        "volume": 14030,
        "typical_volume": 24989.5,
        "trend": 36.318738,
        "fair_value": 25.650833,
        "relative_strength": -14.087065,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -76.360369,
        "energy": 85.673647,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.344167,
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          35.446007
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 32.2307,
        "volume": 159021,
        "typical_volume": 30688.35,
        "trend": 36.197896,
        "fair_value": 25.746387,
        "relative_strength": -12.531869,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.663673,
        "energy": 72.764845,
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          32.245633,
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          34.122065,
          35.182262
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 32.1259,
        "volume": 5500,
        "typical_volume": 28962.4,
        "trend": 36.123823,
        "fair_value": 25.842202,
        "relative_strength": -13.679791,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.168321,
        "energy": 62.289845,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.18962,
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          33.832943,
          34.919553
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 33.9802,
        "volume": 20977,
        "typical_volume": 28843.55,
        "trend": 36.064223,
        "fair_value": 25.951227,
        "relative_strength": -11.761356,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.232394,
        "energy": 46.999013,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.755387,
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          34.781255
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}