{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "65f00c2e-081e-41dd-9f5a-3b3793676edd",
    "symbol": "OTTR",
    "name": "Otter Tail Corporation",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.411,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 61.844,
    "architecture_energy": 39.992,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.17,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.485,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.25,
        "rotation_up": 57.38,
        "upward_expansion": 78.18,
        "deceleration": 53.68,
        "rotation_down": 18.5,
        "downward_expansion": 7.18
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        91.618,
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        89.776816,
        89.009833
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 93.79,
    "trend_reference": 88.09631,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.06463,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 80.195761,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.169513,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.399118,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.090365,
    "excess_performance": -0.097089,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06463,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032997,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.169513,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061541,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.033991,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074135,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090365,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.813352,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1793399,
      "relative_activity": 1.404806,
      "balance": 1.813352,
      "dry_up": 1.038457,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.052421,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.209584,
      "from_high_reference": -0.012737,
      "from_low_reference": 0.289638
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 88.09631,
      "fair_value_reference": 80.195761,
      "structural_low": 82.74,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": -0.00098,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00106,
        "regime_survival": 0.735294,
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        "worst_return": -0.179729,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.219234,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.199379,
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      {
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 1311461.9,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -4.885443,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 79.909334,
        "relative_strength": -8.844934,
        "stage": 3,
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        "direction": 48.961157,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1337268.1,
        "trend": 87.153194,
        "fair_value": 80.002407,
        "relative_strength": -0.73634,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.804084,
        "energy": 55.372695,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.861333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 92.34,
        "volume": 893759,
        "typical_volume": 1303557.1,
        "trend": 87.518918,
        "fair_value": 80.111386,
        "relative_strength": 0.350181,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.285806,
        "energy": 52.18374,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.554,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 88.42,
        "volume": 839365,
        "typical_volume": 1289419.9,
        "trend": 87.786546,
        "fair_value": 80.142691,
        "relative_strength": -4.374239,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.759279,
        "energy": 27.399358,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.617333,
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          88.622514
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 93.79,
        "volume": 1793399,
        "typical_volume": 1276616.45,
        "trend": 88.09631,
        "fair_value": 80.195761,
        "relative_strength": -3.399118,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.843866,
        "energy": 39.991741,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.618,
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          89.009833
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}