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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.73, "architecture_energy": 79.946, "architecture_maturity": 36.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.313, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 82.39, "upward_expansion": 93.91, "deceleration": 45.17, "rotation_down": 11.97, "downward_expansion": 15.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 63.439333, 61.303322, 56.824211, 53.906972 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 66.02, "trend_reference": 51.195538, "distance_from_trend": 0.289566, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 57.040871, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.157416, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 16.487652, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.448607, "excess_performance": 0.322982, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.289566, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07903, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.157416, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.305512, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.164877, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.314105, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.448607, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.586558, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1674438, "relative_activity": 0.858208, "balance": 2.586558, "dry_up": 0.807209, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059272, "annualized_volatility": 0.327857, "from_high_reference": -0.013154, "from_low_reference": 0.667844 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.195538, "fair_value_reference": 57.040871, "structural_low": 39.584047, 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"activity_lines": [ 59.830667, 57.190617, 53.180731, 51.282881 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 62.55, "volume": 1527092, "typical_volume": 2046825.0, "trend": 50.149437, "fair_value": 56.921615, "relative_strength": 15.610453, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.486914, "energy": 87.767136, "activity_lines": [ 61.072, 58.658393, 54.367957, 52.115196 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 62.58, "volume": 1470692, "typical_volume": 2011229.95, "trend": 50.678023, "fair_value": 56.961241, "relative_strength": 14.393559, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.77659, "energy": 79.590233, "activity_lines": [ 61.809333, 59.809246, 55.479202, 52.917167 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 66.02, "volume": 1674438, "typical_volume": 1951085.85, "trend": 51.195538, "fair_value": 57.040871, "relative_strength": 16.487652, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.729677, "energy": 79.945685, "activity_lines": [ 63.439333, 61.303322, 56.824211, 53.906972 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }