{ "ticker": { "uuid": "65f1575f-94bf-4115-ac8a-fa813b35ddc2", "symbol": "603722", "name": "Wuxi Acryl Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.891, "architecture_energy": 74.438, "architecture_maturity": 18.629, "architecture_confidence": 84.187, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.03, "rotation_up": 10.93, "upward_expansion": 19.04, "deceleration": 34.22, "rotation_down": 74.59, "downward_expansion": 90.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.047333, 32.933272, 35.165571, 35.92301 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 31.290001, "trend_reference": 37.155333, "distance_from_trend": -0.15786, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 41.006069, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.236942, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.30839, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.205434, "excess_performance": -0.16223, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.15786, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037427, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.236942, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.187402, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.203084, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099072, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.205434, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.379023, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9513840, "relative_activity": 0.972204, "balance": 0.379023, "dry_up": 1.422732, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.148979, "annualized_volatility": 0.546724, "from_high_reference": -0.454688, "from_low_reference": 0.242653 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.155333, "fair_value_reference": 41.006069, "structural_low": 25.18, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.045382, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.035903, "regime_survival": 0.619048, "best_return": 0.319288, "worst_return": -0.12005, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.107865, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.024323, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.354869, "worst_return": -0.063158, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.065663, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.01382, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.27509, "worst_return": -0.204624, "sufficient": true }, { 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-31.098064, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.482082, "energy": 75.1592, "activity_lines": [ 32.019999, 34.800363, 36.282428, 36.830752 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.74, "volume": 13469612, "typical_volume": 9605808.2, "trend": 37.428, "fair_value": 41.096431, "relative_strength": -22.63078, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.126031, "energy": 74.721093, "activity_lines": [ 30.446666, 33.638545, 35.630333, 36.31901 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.290001, "volume": 9513840, "typical_volume": 9785851.45, "trend": 37.155333, "fair_value": 41.006069, "relative_strength": -20.30839, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.891258, "energy": 74.437987, "activity_lines": [ 30.047333, 32.933272, 35.165571, 35.92301 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }