{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "65f20499-d04c-4272-81f4-2d45da6db29c",
    "symbol": "GBRE",
    "name": "State Street SPDR Dow Jones Global Real Estate UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.889,
    "architecture_energy": 67.467,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.463,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.267,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.03,
        "rotation_up": 76.38,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 54.81,
        "rotation_down": 12.21,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        30.766529,
        30.252272
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 31.635,
    "trend_reference": 29.611688,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.068328,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.851176,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.135859,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.711497,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.118587,
    "excess_performance": 0.035704,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068328,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03947,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135859,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05995,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007115,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032184,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118587,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.123715,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 451,
      "relative_activity": 0.49859,
      "balance": 2.123715,
      "dry_up": 1.093638,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018641,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.131154,
      "from_high_reference": -0.047569,
      "from_low_reference": 0.179955
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 27.851176,
      "structural_low": 27.65,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.005412,
        "positive_rate": 0.535714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.535714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002114,
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        "best_return": 0.077636,
        "worst_return": -0.11439,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.148953,
        "sufficient": true
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 0.699585,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 27.670877,
        "relative_strength": -1.328694,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -0.806554,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.100715,
        "energy": 88.209297,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 32.02,
        "volume": 3,
        "typical_volume": 763.35,
        "trend": 29.190683,
        "fair_value": 27.738264,
        "relative_strength": 1.767262,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.096737,
        "energy": 97.125085,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.361225,
          30.807725,
          30.169725,
          29.758338
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 32.23,
        "volume": 2120,
        "typical_volume": 826.8,
        "trend": 29.355599,
        "fair_value": 27.776401,
        "relative_strength": 2.546648,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.495796,
        "energy": 96.315235,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.727667,
          31.147462,
          30.415165,
          29.954423
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 31.834999,
        "volume": 1383,
        "typical_volume": 885.25,
        "trend": 29.497742,
        "fair_value": 27.81385,
        "relative_strength": 1.213951,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.977574,
        "energy": 82.431834,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.821333,
          31.359208,
          30.60804,
          30.114385
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 31.635,
        "volume": 451,
        "typical_volume": 904.55,
        "trend": 29.611688,
        "fair_value": 27.851176,
        "relative_strength": -0.711497,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.889434,
        "energy": 67.467269,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.814333,
          31.497153,
          30.766529,
          30.252272
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}