{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "65f7ebae-0ce1-479e-b7ee-b9699f5db697",
    "symbol": "TPYP",
    "name": "TORTOISE NORTH AMERICAN PIPELINE ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 48.137,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 39.531,
    "architecture_energy": 26.301,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.535,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.16,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.93,
        "rotation_up": 46.4,
        "upward_expansion": 73.09,
        "deceleration": 59.57,
        "rotation_down": 20.94,
        "downward_expansion": 4.42
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        42.202952
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 41.65,
    "trend_reference": 41.412353,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.005739,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 32.021359,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.300694,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.717111,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.085582,
    "excess_performance": -0.040043,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005739,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065225,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.300694,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059234,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037171,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039673,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085582,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.570998,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 233155,
      "relative_activity": 0.503296,
      "balance": 1.570998,
      "dry_up": 0.557816,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.039736,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.201964,
      "from_high_reference": -0.067189,
      "from_low_reference": 0.248631
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 41.412353,
      "fair_value_reference": 32.021359,
      "structural_low": 38.267291,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": 0.017322,
        "positive_rate": 0.594595,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.594595,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012959,
        "regime_survival": 0.72973,
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        "worst_return": -0.095533,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "median_excess_return": 0.09106,
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        "worst_return": 0.017281,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2023-11-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 523089.85,
        "trend": 40.306859,
        "fair_value": 31.495155,
        "relative_strength": 1.47248,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 43.66,
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        "typical_volume": 520938.5,
        "trend": 40.616293,
        "fair_value": 31.629652,
        "relative_strength": 5.242863,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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        "direction": 64.570706,
        "energy": 39.789695,
        "activity_lines": [
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          42.294397,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 44.16,
        "volume": 207582,
        "typical_volume": 517998.6,
        "trend": 40.925629,
        "fair_value": 31.768425,
        "relative_strength": 6.861146,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 66.088769,
        "energy": 51.952064,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 42.95,
        "volume": 372754,
        "typical_volume": 523936.85,
        "trend": 41.178884,
        "fair_value": 31.900095,
        "relative_strength": 2.757258,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.80231,
        "energy": 48.781956,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.306087,
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          42.547109,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.65,
        "volume": 233155,
        "typical_volume": 463256.15,
        "trend": 41.412353,
        "fair_value": 32.021359,
        "relative_strength": -3.717111,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.531056,
        "energy": 26.300664,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}