{ "ticker": { "uuid": "65fda324-ee41-4171-82d7-b1361bf87651", "symbol": "SYNEX", "name": "Synnex (Thailand) Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 94.804, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 41.733, "architecture_energy": 61.161, "architecture_maturity": 7.227, "architecture_confidence": 52.419, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.05, "rotation_up": 72.34, "upward_expansion": 62.23, "deceleration": 21.35, "rotation_down": 16.43, "downward_expansion": 20.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.866667, 9.570909, 9.405513, 9.374687 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 10.0, "trend_reference": 9.386701, "distance_from_trend": 0.065337, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.765824, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.071135, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.881493, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.030468, "excess_performance": -0.161857, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.065337, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008858, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.071135, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020354, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.128815, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045116, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.030468, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.748868, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10250900, "relative_activity": 1.414352, "balance": 0.748868, "dry_up": 1.949796, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048462, "annualized_volatility": 0.293028, "from_high_reference": -0.180494, "from_low_reference": 0.169407 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.386701, "fair_value_reference": 10.765824, "structural_low": 8.55134, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.042017, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.037902, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.042017, "worst_return": -0.042017, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.134454, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.180682, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.134454, "worst_return": 0.134454, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.210026, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.160105, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.210026, "worst_return": 0.210026, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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9.149639, 9.246884 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 9.4, "volume": 14386900, "typical_volume": 6172725.0, "trend": 9.348127, "fair_value": 10.775682, "relative_strength": -21.113356, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.66591, "energy": 22.977712, "activity_lines": [ 9.096667, 9.120909, 9.165059, 9.250093 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.65, "volume": 22811200, "typical_volume": 6588205.0, "trend": 9.35112, "fair_value": 10.769589, "relative_strength": -19.20446, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.014702, "energy": 5.874414, "activity_lines": [ 9.29, 9.202727, 9.209398, 9.269569 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.5, "volume": 15518800, "typical_volume": 6727050.0, "trend": 9.349113, "fair_value": 10.765389, "relative_strength": -20.022404, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 13.99435, "energy": 17.952942, "activity_lines": [ 9.4, 9.261818, 9.23971, 9.279174 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.2, "volume": 7945800, "typical_volume": 6915390.0, "trend": 9.37044, "fair_value": 10.765677, "relative_strength": -12.509077, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.072522, "energy": 43.703062, "activity_lines": [ 9.72, 9.443636, 9.334688, 9.33407 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.0, "volume": 10250900, "typical_volume": 7247770.0, "trend": 9.386701, "fair_value": 10.765824, "relative_strength": -12.881493, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.733169, "energy": 61.160581, "activity_lines": [ 9.866667, 9.570909, 9.405513, 9.374687 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }