{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6602657c-c29f-44ff-8ccd-ee5219b331f6", "symbol": "UNTC", "name": "Unic-tech, Limited Partnership", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 79.192, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.526, "architecture_energy": 25.379, "architecture_maturity": 21.012, "architecture_confidence": 89.046, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.19, "rotation_up": 22.75, "upward_expansion": 7.3, "deceleration": 41.24, "rotation_down": 45.26, "downward_expansion": 73.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.959867, 0.967018, 0.977543, 0.994082 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.955, "trend_reference": 1.018833, "distance_from_trend": -0.062653, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.44357, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.338446, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -18.274105, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.135747, "excess_performance": -0.164647, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.062653, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033396, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.338446, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050386, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.182741, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.187892, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.135747, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.575378, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52316, "relative_activity": 0.583802, "balance": 2.575378, "dry_up": 0.883907, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.153041, "annualized_volatility": 0.480639, "from_high_reference": -0.383871, "from_low_reference": 0.145084 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.018833, "fair_value_reference": 1.44357, "structural_low": 0.834, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.035169, "positive_rate": 0.28, "directional_follow_through": 0.72, "median_excess_return": -0.042661, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.674975, "worst_return": -0.242682, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.081526, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.095688, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.678695, "worst_return": -0.301212, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.075758, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.022485, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.478606, "worst_return": -0.380441, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.097923, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.116963, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.002266, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.190034, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.061148, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.005907, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.197821, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.063725, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.083977, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0138, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1.784, "volume": 2500, "typical_volume": 4205.85, "trend": 2.364567, "fair_value": 4.466068, "relative_strength": -31.071112, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": 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1.072, "volume": 288935, "typical_volume": 82270.05, "trend": 1.031633, "fair_value": 1.476576, "relative_strength": -11.821835, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.770499, "energy": 10.055361, "activity_lines": [ 1.0008, 0.985909, 0.998305, 1.014095 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.901, "volume": 37844, "typical_volume": 82871.0, "trend": 1.027667, "fair_value": 1.466422, "relative_strength": -26.119508, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.195721, "energy": 18.174436, "activity_lines": [ 0.974533, 0.971364, 0.9876, 1.005667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.007, "volume": 185562, "typical_volume": 90538.5, "trend": 1.025133, "fair_value": 1.456948, "relative_strength": -18.261756, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.46648, "energy": 13.523633, "activity_lines": [ 0.9868, 0.977382, 0.987752, 1.004333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.932, "volume": 41115, "typical_volume": 89876.55, "trend": 1.020767, "fair_value": 1.449031, "relative_strength": -21.235024, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.575236, "energy": 15.220557, "activity_lines": [ 0.969733, 0.969055, 0.981295, 0.998325 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.955, "volume": 52316, "typical_volume": 89612.65, "trend": 1.018833, "fair_value": 1.44357, "relative_strength": -18.274105, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.525702, "energy": 25.378681, "activity_lines": [ 0.959867, 0.967018, 0.977543, 0.994082 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }