{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "660fafdc-5f3b-42f3-969d-1a02f5b7ed59",
    "symbol": "RWE",
    "name": "RWE Aktiengesellschaft",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 63.959,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 42.573,
    "architecture_energy": 24.417,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.259,
    "architecture_confidence": 49.53,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.27,
        "rotation_up": 43.71,
        "upward_expansion": 70.25,
        "deceleration": 63.2,
        "rotation_down": 20.01,
        "downward_expansion": 3.92
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        56.975999,
        56.732363,
        56.647804,
        56.208321
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 56.099998,
    "trend_reference": 55.155029,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.017133,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 37.31707,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.503333,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.067208,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.08102,
    "excess_performance": -0.093226,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017133,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083454,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.503333,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.14372,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050672,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.214094,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08102,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.383624,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2074,
      "relative_activity": 0.900037,
      "balance": 0.383624,
      "dry_up": 1.313386,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.047114,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.328295,
      "from_high_reference": -0.076999,
      "from_low_reference": 0.689034
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 55.155029,
      "fair_value_reference": 37.31707,
      "structural_low": 48.443564,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.010205,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000676,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.157642,
        "worst_return": -0.056367,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.014395,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001192,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.229481,
        "worst_return": -0.061736,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.019078,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006733,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.45282,
        "worst_return": -0.097525,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.018297,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.079908,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.115738,
        "worst_return": -0.079144,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-12-08",
        "end": "2024-01-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.074649,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.054054,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-02-16",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.129442,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.061033,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.075455,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02119,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.06488,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.016091,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.03699,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.059664,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.066064,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.05388,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.41631,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.001786,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 58.846023,
        "activity_lines": [
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          51.344799
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 60.779999,
        "volume": 378,
        "typical_volume": 3305.45,
        "trend": 48.804111,
        "fair_value": 35.537171,
        "relative_strength": 22.942317,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.952864,
        "energy": 62.351582,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.316636,
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          54.630273,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 58.740002,
        "volume": 4059,
        "typical_volume": 3352.25,
        "trend": 49.437268,
        "fair_value": 35.66368,
        "relative_strength": 16.342205,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 54.728364,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 54.98,
        "volume": 6111,
        "typical_volume": 3638.25,
        "trend": 49.928093,
        "fair_value": 35.772693,
        "relative_strength": 8.785578,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.670963,
        "energy": 48.796552,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 56.740002,
        "volume": 2029,
        "typical_volume": 3702.7,
        "trend": 50.490007,
        "fair_value": 35.906145,
        "relative_strength": 9.407094,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.626059,
        "energy": 41.975696,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.341378,
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          55.742057,
          53.603492
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 54.5,
        "volume": 2077,
        "typical_volume": 3752.6,
        "trend": 50.906648,
        "fair_value": 36.023999,
        "relative_strength": 1.902184,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.488471,
        "energy": 22.697063,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.177334,
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          55.779951,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 56.0,
        "volume": 155,
        "typical_volume": 3572.65,
        "trend": 51.377539,
        "fair_value": 36.148224,
        "relative_strength": 5.390016,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.997162,
        "energy": 22.363425,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.794667,
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          54.190804
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 57.119999,
        "volume": 721,
        "typical_volume": 3425.0,
        "trend": 51.790968,
        "fair_value": 36.275616,
        "relative_strength": 4.240962,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.399,
        "energy": 20.359658,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 55.18,
        "volume": 508,
        "typical_volume": 3408.6,
        "trend": 52.190723,
        "fair_value": 36.395115,
        "relative_strength": -3.548825,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.255317,
        "energy": 17.580412,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.874667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 54.34,
        "volume": 866,
        "typical_volume": 3320.9,
        "trend": 52.571631,
        "fair_value": 36.507932,
        "relative_strength": -3.331818,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 13.510123,
        "energy": 9.314184,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.352,
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          56.07725,
          54.918596
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 57.919998,
        "volume": 513,
        "typical_volume": 2959.35,
        "trend": 53.098023,
        "fair_value": 36.649125,
        "relative_strength": 0.370548,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.822086,
        "energy": 23.191345,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.182666,
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          56.323407,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 56.299999,
        "volume": 2610,
        "typical_volume": 2796.1,
        "trend": 53.554398,
        "fair_value": 36.776924,
        "relative_strength": -1.383387,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.828209,
        "energy": 15.524639,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.245332,
          56.08909,
          56.3723,
          55.470231
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 56.02,
        "volume": 3122,
        "typical_volume": 2774.1,
        "trend": 53.967117,
        "fair_value": 36.899979,
        "relative_strength": -0.203714,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.686205,
        "energy": 16.288389,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.194666,
          56.059636,
          56.369443,
          55.629302
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 58.84,
        "volume": 4261,
        "typical_volume": 2709.7,
        "trend": 54.465337,
        "fair_value": 37.046657,
        "relative_strength": 3.036919,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.675223,
        "energy": 36.921052,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.157333,
          56.592363,
          56.622241,
          55.943682
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 57.32,
        "volume": 2649,
        "typical_volume": 2427.3,
        "trend": 54.852744,
        "fair_value": 37.187013,
        "relative_strength": 0.129777,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.861083,
        "energy": 32.465305,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.369333,
          56.778545,
          56.696461,
          56.127854
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 56.099998,
        "volume": 2074,
        "typical_volume": 2304.35,
        "trend": 55.155029,
        "fair_value": 37.31707,
        "relative_strength": -5.067208,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.57331,
        "energy": 24.416595,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.975999,
          56.732363,
          56.647804,
          56.208321
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}