{ "ticker": { "uuid": "66167929-c861-4eb8-bd4f-96c0b38e697b", "symbol": "SHFS", "name": "SHF Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -73.736, "architecture_energy": 89.294, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 29.66, "upward_expansion": 21.97, "deceleration": 37.01, "rotation_down": 62.87, "downward_expansion": 99.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.187767, 0.209565, 0.327851, 0.453234 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.1749, "trend_reference": 0.631192, "distance_from_trend": -0.722905, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.013308, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.978174, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -90.521919, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.822689, "excess_performance": -1.010142, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.722905, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.390976, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.978174, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030047, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.905219, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.081491, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.822689, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.014791, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2543208, "relative_activity": 0.223456, "balance": 0.014791, "dry_up": 0.146963, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.409548, "annualized_volatility": 0.989109, "from_high_reference": -0.980968, "from_low_reference": 0.055841 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.631192, "fair_value_reference": 8.013308, "structural_low": 0.16565, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.096386, "positive_rate": 0.322581, "directional_follow_through": 0.677419, "median_excess_return": -0.125169, "regime_survival": 0.870968, "best_return": 2.031185, "worst_return": -0.611481, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.284605, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.279991, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 1.050459, "worst_return": -0.706644, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.536185, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.693269, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.684566, "worst_return": -0.797705, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"volume": 2543208, "typical_volume": 11381264.85, "trend": 0.631192, "fair_value": 8.013308, "relative_strength": -90.521919, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.736151, "energy": 89.294051, "activity_lines": [ 0.187767, 0.209565, 0.327851, 0.453234 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }