{ "ticker": { "uuid": "661bf52a-b6f1-4066-909f-c7b091e67291", "symbol": "000635", "name": "Ningxia Yinglite Chemicals Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.72, "architecture_energy": 59.533, "architecture_maturity": 91.338, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 28.38, "upward_expansion": 11.22, "deceleration": 60.93, "rotation_down": 52.41, "downward_expansion": 84.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.144667, 6.193091, 6.691905, 7.238215 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.39, "trend_reference": 8.02, "distance_from_trend": -0.203242, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.995897, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.20084, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.769041, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.374143, "excess_performance": -0.381543, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.203242, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105942, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.20084, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.226497, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.26769, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028925, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.374143, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.20534, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23149259, "relative_activity": 0.889256, "balance": 0.20534, "dry_up": 0.943333, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083183, "annualized_volatility": 0.307934, "from_high_reference": -0.415371, "from_low_reference": 0.141071 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.02, "fair_value_reference": 7.995897, "structural_low": 5.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.00914, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.000154, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.264286, "worst_return": -0.222535, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.023238, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.031527, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.462214, "worst_return": -0.298507, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.03083, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.033763, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.351494, "worst_return": -0.203081, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-31.281293, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.477822, "energy": 88.418591, "activity_lines": [ 6.102, 6.412545, 7.066, 7.637849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.87, "volume": 30144483, "typical_volume": 29641444.55, "trend": 8.198, "fair_value": 8.03359, "relative_strength": -31.710471, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.675199, "energy": 75.631677, "activity_lines": [ 5.993333, 6.255455, 6.898857, 7.479591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.17, "volume": 21171976, "typical_volume": 27086684.0, "trend": 8.103333, "fair_value": 8.013718, "relative_strength": -26.343072, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.92643, "energy": 65.274344, "activity_lines": [ 6.028667, 6.192, 6.777619, 7.348753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.39, "volume": 23149259, "typical_volume": 26032169.6, "trend": 8.02, "fair_value": 7.995897, "relative_strength": -26.769041, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.72044, "energy": 59.533299, "activity_lines": [ 6.144667, 6.193091, 6.691905, 7.238215 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }