{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "661c01ec-2d49-4ead-9853-e0293ab53e6a",
    "symbol": "VNQI",
    "name": "Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate Index Fund ETF Shares",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 94.361,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -43.446,
    "architecture_energy": 30.101,
    "architecture_maturity": 94.941,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.421,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.07,
        "rotation_up": 30.34,
        "upward_expansion": 19.93,
        "deceleration": 44.16,
        "rotation_down": 35.88,
        "downward_expansion": 69.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        803.576386
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 795.0,
    "trend_reference": 814.770333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.024265,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 772.196288,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.029531,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.843122,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.053571,
    "excess_performance": 0.001095,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024265,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018108,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029531,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059705,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058431,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043878,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.053571,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.086694,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 32,
      "relative_activity": 0.529363,
      "balance": 0.086694,
      "dry_up": 0.860215,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013375,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.158223,
      "from_high_reference": -0.10139,
      "from_low_reference": 0.024353
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 814.770333,
      "fair_value_reference": 772.196288,
      "structural_low": 776.099976,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": -0.007216,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.535714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008409,
        "regime_survival": 0.821429,
        "best_return": 0.096133,
        "worst_return": -0.145977,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.002998,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.056596,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.142529,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.187707,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.277355,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-05-31",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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      {
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "energy": 91.714618,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 776.099976,
        "volume": 142,
        "typical_volume": 61.05,
        "trend": 816.223665,
        "fair_value": 770.588521,
        "relative_strength": -7.990189,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -81.126269,
        "energy": 93.113293,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 815.0,
        "volume": 34,
        "typical_volume": 59.6,
        "trend": 815.956999,
        "fair_value": 771.456507,
        "relative_strength": -3.849578,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.568541,
        "energy": 41.275445,
        "activity_lines": [
          790.458667,
          789.017817,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 795.0,
        "volume": 32,
        "typical_volume": 60.45,
        "trend": 814.770333,
        "fair_value": 772.196288,
        "relative_strength": -5.843122,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -43.445571,
        "energy": 30.100966,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}