{ "ticker": { "uuid": "663cfaab-cbfb-4105-9f70-7bb48c25fbf7", "symbol": "BDSX", "name": "Biodesix\u00a0Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.314, "architecture_energy": 51.896, "architecture_maturity": 55.328, "architecture_confidence": 79.498, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.24, "rotation_up": 59.04, "upward_expansion": 80.53, "deceleration": 66.18, "rotation_down": 20.7, "downward_expansion": 7.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.006667, 21.290364, 18.832476, 17.530366 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 23.5, "trend_reference": 15.6885, "distance_from_trend": 0.497912, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.2355, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.106637, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 71.727149, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.263969, "excess_performance": 1.076516, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.497912, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.37828, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.106637, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.403833, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.717271, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.300533, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.263969, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.084129, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 500757, "relative_activity": 1.440743, "balance": 1.084129, "dry_up": 0.994658, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.144453, "annualized_volatility": 0.945498, "from_high_reference": -0.06, "from_low_reference": 3.467681 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.6885, "fair_value_reference": 21.2355, "structural_low": 9.432, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.035925, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.010608, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.42238, "worst_return": -0.254717, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.228003, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.300441, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.093697, "worst_return": -0.292818, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.215412, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.455312, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.873935, "worst_return": -0.512707, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": 67.958838, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.270518, "energy": 81.923933, "activity_lines": [ 20.917333, 18.870727, 16.748476, 15.628602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 20.19, "volume": 268766, "typical_volume": 405580.9, "trend": 14.089833, "fair_value": 21.325885, "relative_strength": 62.062177, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.585756, "energy": 77.525671, "activity_lines": [ 21.072667, 19.363091, 17.1525, 16.051194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.0, "volume": 340550, "typical_volume": 367360.85, "trend": 14.595833, "fair_value": 21.329731, "relative_strength": 76.36211, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.312711, "energy": 63.355809, "activity_lines": [ 21.489333, 20.096, 17.705762, 16.561527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.2, "volume": 272775, "typical_volume": 346217.55, "trend": 15.087167, "fair_value": 21.263064, "relative_strength": 65.930661, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.840604, "energy": 48.249106, "activity_lines": [ 21.293333, 20.541091, 18.1675, 16.987602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.5, "volume": 500757, "typical_volume": 347568.7, "trend": 15.6885, "fair_value": 21.2355, "relative_strength": 71.727149, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.314178, "energy": 51.896206, "activity_lines": [ 22.006667, 21.290364, 18.832476, 17.530366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }