{ "ticker": { "uuid": "663d1897-c6ca-4ed6-909c-a15aa40fb466", "symbol": "IXUS", "name": "ISHARES CORE MSCI TOTAL INTERNATIONAL STOCK ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 87.093, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.146, "architecture_energy": 34.594, "architecture_maturity": 31.037, "architecture_confidence": 54.057, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.62, "rotation_up": 42.06, "upward_expansion": 70.23, "deceleration": 67.42, "rotation_down": 26.0, "downward_expansion": 8.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 95.062, 94.858594, 94.24845, 92.926105 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 97.34, "trend_reference": 91.423656, "distance_from_trend": 0.064713, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 71.522343, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.360973, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.880893, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.084166, "excess_performance": -0.103288, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.064713, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04614, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.360973, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025111, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.018809, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016132, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.084166, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.668164, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7428529, "relative_activity": 0.764349, "balance": 2.668164, "dry_up": 0.74662, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032125, "annualized_volatility": 0.193541, "from_high_reference": -0.002357, "from_low_reference": 0.280052 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 91.423656, "fair_value_reference": 71.522343, "structural_low": 82.28902, "invalidation": "A sustained 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{ "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 95.28, "volume": 9189421, "typical_volume": 11768531.55, "trend": 90.084426, "fair_value": 70.583149, "relative_strength": -4.21894, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.143065, "energy": 40.668507, "activity_lines": [ 95.143647, 94.771542, 93.152592, 91.90111 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 93.11, "volume": 5895339, "typical_volume": 11110614.2, "trend": 90.426694, "fair_value": 70.806607, "relative_strength": -2.334684, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.875092, "energy": 26.09792, "activity_lines": [ 94.421333, 94.521514, 93.318119, 92.096309 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 93.19, "volume": 6670696, "typical_volume": 10436244.45, "trend": 90.727854, "fair_value": 71.024986, "relative_strength": -0.674273, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.348442, "energy": 21.293094, "activity_lines": [ 93.862, 94.316925, 93.490047, 92.274586 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 94.54, "volume": 9030362, "typical_volume": 10225943.4, "trend": 91.053609, "fair_value": 71.263379, "relative_strength": 0.167011, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.850146, "energy": 20.398046, "activity_lines": [ 94.004667, 94.340013, 93.758713, 92.520531 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 97.34, "volume": 7428529, "typical_volume": 9718771.9, "trend": 91.423656, "fair_value": 71.522343, "relative_strength": -1.880893, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.146434, "energy": 34.59432, "activity_lines": [ 95.062, 94.858594, 94.24845, 92.926105 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }