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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_to_3_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 2 \u2192 3 watch", "confidence": 69.601, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 15.451, "architecture_energy": 10.888, "architecture_maturity": 42.649, "architecture_confidence": 65.037, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.33, "rotation_up": 33.27, "upward_expansion": 64.71, "deceleration": 82.02, "rotation_down": 28.32, "downward_expansion": 17.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 81.801333, 82.553273, 81.637946, 80.951106 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 76.83, "trend_reference": 79.277615, "distance_from_trend": -0.030874, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 62.114558, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.236908, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.392101, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.063088, "excess_performance": -0.062537, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.030874, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07031, "read": "Rising" 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 89.25, "volume": 13825654, "typical_volume": 18555073.55, "trend": 78.619318, "fair_value": 61.789791, "relative_strength": 12.14764, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.270406, "energy": 83.490329, "activity_lines": [ 87.114, 84.075166, 82.348413, 81.084905 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 78.71, "volume": 30394984, "typical_volume": 19101996.35, "trend": 78.994566, "fair_value": 61.947009, "relative_strength": -2.006856, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.725692, "energy": 42.189708, "activity_lines": [ 84.640667, 83.479073, 82.081949, 81.090756 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 76.83, "volume": 31102647, "typical_volume": 19423322.7, "trend": 79.277615, "fair_value": 62.114558, "relative_strength": -7.392101, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.450894, "energy": 10.887644, "activity_lines": [ 81.801333, 82.553273, 81.637946, 80.951106 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }