{ "ticker": { "uuid": "6673e897-1dfa-47ba-8e09-c2052f8222f9", "symbol": "TP05", "name": "iShares $ TIPS 0-5 UCITS ETF USD (Dist)", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 55.02, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.699, "architecture_energy": 50.514, "architecture_maturity": 3.135, "architecture_confidence": 95.55, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.71, "rotation_up": 16.57, "upward_expansion": 9.83, "deceleration": 40.6, "rotation_down": 60.03, "downward_expansion": 85.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 363.94, 364.945, 366.252876, 367.441418 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 362.8, "trend_reference": 368.021352, "distance_from_trend": -0.014188, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 385.733449, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.059454, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.958097, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.003713, "excess_performance": -0.054948, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.014188, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005325, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.059454, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007816, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.099581, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030984, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.003713, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.186954, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 347620, "relative_activity": 1.08534, "balance": 0.186954, "dry_up": 1.381081, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.013316, "annualized_volatility": 0.079139, "from_high_reference": -0.068389, "from_low_reference": 0.014448 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 368.021352, "fair_value_reference": 385.733449, 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"regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.89447, "energy": 40.312385, "activity_lines": [ 365.518333, 365.857272, 367.345775, 368.110632 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 363.325, "volume": 203629, "typical_volume": 339171.25, "trend": 368.211384, "fair_value": 385.988829, "relative_strength": -9.920216, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.003604, "energy": 49.718898, "activity_lines": [ 364.618333, 365.453636, 366.79409, 367.790539 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 362.8, "volume": 347620, "typical_volume": 320286.65, "trend": 368.021352, "fair_value": 385.733449, "relative_strength": -9.958097, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.699485, "energy": 50.513964, "activity_lines": [ 363.94, 364.945, 366.252876, 367.441418 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }