{ "ticker": { "uuid": "667b3763-38a6-4858-9c84-2f14b528b3a9", "symbol": "EPACK", "name": "EPACK Durable Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.134, "architecture_energy": 22.992, "architecture_maturity": 31.127, "architecture_confidence": 91.357, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.85, "rotation_up": 23.74, "upward_expansion": 8.79, "deceleration": 45.72, "rotation_down": 38.04, "downward_expansion": 66.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 232.364668, 233.208183, 235.172239, 236.456839 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 229.479996, "trend_reference": 238.813334, "distance_from_trend": -0.039082, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 305.164924, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.248013, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.671162, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.057035, "excess_performance": -0.013326, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.039082, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0552, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.248013, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.089618, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.156712, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042933, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.057035, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.274413, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1831813, "relative_activity": 0.254851, "balance": 0.274413, "dry_up": 0.314294, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058095, "annualized_volatility": 0.422971, "from_high_reference": -0.439609, "from_low_reference": 0.169921 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 238.813334, "fair_value_reference": 305.164924, "structural_low": 196.149994, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.047992, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.081247, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.058322, "worst_return": -0.203263, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.186993, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.218322, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.129108, "worst_return": -0.244877, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.384366, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.438973, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.384366, "worst_return": 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234.014666, 232.795818, 236.420477, 238.734345 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 241.529999, "volume": 4695841, "typical_volume": 7515402.6, "trend": 243.442001, "fair_value": 306.885503, "relative_strength": -13.008817, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.493434, "energy": 12.279331, "activity_lines": [ 236.961333, 233.94309, 236.787, 238.511054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 234.570007, "volume": 1247025, "typical_volume": 7510100.95, "trend": 241.829334, "fair_value": 306.32923, "relative_strength": -12.848746, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.59584, "energy": 12.760739, "activity_lines": [ 236.648002, 234.224365, 236.521429, 237.938667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 229.490005, "volume": 1261606, "typical_volume": 7243209.45, "trend": 240.109001, "fair_value": 305.742671, "relative_strength": -16.02457, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.93604, "energy": 16.920718, "activity_lines": [ 234.36267, 233.685274, 235.789144, 237.142582 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 229.479996, "volume": 1831813, "typical_volume": 7187771.4, "trend": 238.813334, "fair_value": 305.164924, "relative_strength": -15.671162, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.134175, "energy": 22.992022, "activity_lines": [ 232.364668, 233.208183, 235.172239, 236.456839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }