{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "667b9d6e-8892-4f2b-a6a4-de424caa8141",
    "symbol": "EUSA",
    "name": "ISHARES INC MSCI USA EQUAL WEIGHTED ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 95.021,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.137,
    "architecture_energy": 64.761,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.387,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.124,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.74,
        "rotation_up": 60.72,
        "upward_expansion": 83.62,
        "deceleration": 59.48,
        "rotation_down": 24.67,
        "downward_expansion": 10.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        115.481113,
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        112.867049,
        110.887759
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 117.99,
    "trend_reference": 108.788591,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.084581,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 93.542551,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.261351,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.558822,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.10614,
    "excess_performance": -0.019485,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084581,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03632,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.261351,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054143,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005588,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041973,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.10614,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.885259,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 280225,
      "relative_activity": 0.996041,
      "balance": 0.885259,
      "dry_up": 1.763802,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020639,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.115309,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001016,
      "from_low_reference": 0.211271
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 108.788591,
      "fair_value_reference": 93.542551,
      "structural_low": 98.814533,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.014264,
        "positive_rate": 0.617647,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.617647,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003979,
        "regime_survival": 0.735294,
        "best_return": 0.057233,
        "worst_return": -0.048843,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "positive_rate": 0.615385,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": -0.022705,
        "regime_survival": 0.538462,
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        "worst_return": -0.063667,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.06637,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.035736,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": 0.018064,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.1343,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-02-07",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 187892.75,
        "trend": 104.975917,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -2.107424,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "fair_value": 91.560332,
        "relative_strength": -1.073787,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 106.551919,
        "fair_value": 92.06133,
        "relative_strength": 1.025035,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 73.305503,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 115.14,
        "volume": 625644,
        "typical_volume": 218132.95,
        "trend": 106.956569,
        "fair_value": 92.32163,
        "relative_strength": 0.394569,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 219884.3,
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        "fair_value": 92.566238,
        "relative_strength": -1.148523,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 73.040962,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 113.94,
        "volume": 731397,
        "typical_volume": 248928.1,
        "trend": 107.691754,
        "fair_value": 92.798561,
        "relative_strength": -0.280671,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.105881,
        "energy": 75.740349,
        "activity_lines": [
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          111.054293,
          109.451468
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 113.8999,
        "volume": 473219,
        "typical_volume": 260354.9,
        "trend": 108.018949,
        "fair_value": 93.029159,
        "relative_strength": 0.342669,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.2148,
        "energy": 67.94536,
        "activity_lines": [
          114.230033,
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          111.559038,
          109.851993
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 114.47,
        "volume": 500063,
        "typical_volume": 276411.85,
        "trend": 108.386683,
        "fair_value": 93.273625,
        "relative_strength": -0.181486,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.396922,
        "energy": 55.363335,
        "activity_lines": [
          114.301573,
          113.939958,
          112.074933,
          110.26819
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 117.99,
        "volume": 280225,
        "typical_volume": 281338.8,
        "trend": 108.788591,
        "fair_value": 93.542551,
        "relative_strength": -0.558822,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.137362,
        "energy": 64.760688,
        "activity_lines": [
          115.481113,
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          112.867049,
          110.887759
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}