{ "ticker": { "uuid": "66871d29-0860-4ddb-bb6d-e0f42b4a0a5b", "symbol": "TREL", "name": "Transindia Real Estate Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 67.344, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -16.444, "architecture_energy": 35.924, "architecture_maturity": 2.051, "architecture_confidence": 68.038, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.03, "rotation_up": 19.52, "upward_expansion": 23.47, "deceleration": 49.16, "rotation_down": 58.01, "downward_expansion": 48.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.714667, 25.139636, 25.518905, 25.500581 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 25.4, "trend_reference": 25.383667, "distance_from_trend": 0.000643, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 36.751301, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.308868, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.860477, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.094356, "excess_performance": 0.138065, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.000643, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028414, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.308868, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066709, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.058605, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06402, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.094356, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.715848, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 449897, "relative_activity": 1.324215, "balance": 0.715848, "dry_up": 1.152, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063144, "annualized_volatility": 0.328213, "from_high_reference": -0.260983, "from_low_reference": 0.183046 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.383667, "fair_value_reference": 36.751301, "structural_low": 21.469999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.061529, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.067723, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.061529, "worst_return": -0.061529, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.22845, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.286873, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.22845, "worst_return": -0.22845, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.268961, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.257218, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.268961, "worst_return": -0.268961, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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"volume": 449897, "typical_volume": 339746.15, "trend": 25.383667, "fair_value": 36.751301, "relative_strength": -5.860477, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.443934, "energy": 35.923854, "activity_lines": [ 24.714667, 25.139636, 25.518905, 25.500581 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }