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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.168, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.768, "architecture_energy": 48.094, "architecture_maturity": 54.203, "architecture_confidence": 57.344, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.95, "rotation_up": 46.21, "upward_expansion": 75.16, "deceleration": 69.09, "rotation_down": 26.07, "downward_expansion": 6.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 695.368667, 693.345322, 684.439381, 672.460218 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 709.16, "trend_reference": 658.981559, "distance_from_trend": 0.076145, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 559.635962, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.267181, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.215206, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.087559, "excess_performance": -0.038066, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.076145, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047456, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.267181, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02098, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.002152, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003297, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.087559, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.96478, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3807294, "relative_activity": 1.06697, "balance": 0.96478, "dry_up": 0.894292, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.027139, "annualized_volatility": 0.13651, "from_high_reference": -0.001774, "from_low_reference": 0.262855 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 658.981559, "fair_value_reference": 559.635962, "structural_low": 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"2026-07-31", "close": 686.32, "volume": 2993717, "typical_volume": 3773883.85, "trend": 656.284381, "fair_value": 558.095483, "relative_strength": 0.437351, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.538651, "energy": 34.010301, "activity_lines": [ 688.935333, 689.488867, 680.394598, 669.048888 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 709.16, "volume": 3807294, "typical_volume": 3568322.0, "trend": 658.981559, "fair_value": 559.635962, "relative_strength": 0.215206, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.768303, "energy": 48.093901, "activity_lines": [ 695.368667, 693.345322, 684.439381, 672.460218 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }