{ "ticker": { "uuid": "668fe6f1-0d74-4d3a-8546-5b5cc73d7ee5", "symbol": "WERN", "name": "Werner Enterprises Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 25.808, "architecture_energy": 18.484, "architecture_maturity": 59.373, "architecture_confidence": 87.732, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.7, "rotation_up": 26.58, "upward_expansion": 60.21, "deceleration": 85.41, "rotation_down": 34.89, "downward_expansion": 23.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.028, 41.364924, 40.517447, 38.547439 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 37.51, "trend_reference": 36.429283, "distance_from_trend": 0.029666, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.053272, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.101509, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.082931, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.083865, "excess_performance": -0.103589, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.029666, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.143776, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.101509, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034839, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.010829, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028998, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.083865, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.094654, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4781649, "relative_activity": 0.884456, "balance": 2.094654, "dry_up": 1.329052, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09729, "annualized_volatility": 0.431272, "from_high_reference": -0.21015, "from_low_reference": 0.640913 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.429283, "fair_value_reference": 34.053272, "structural_low": 26.503319, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.078082, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.014505, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.204396, "worst_return": -0.098061, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.008444, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.064071, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.499318, "worst_return": -0.187708, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.111105, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.313425, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.009668, "worst_return": -0.231879, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"typical_volume": 5225353.8, "trend": 36.046209, "fair_value": 34.131044, "relative_strength": 21.362358, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.956414, "energy": 52.034099, "activity_lines": [ 43.770714, 43.225292, 40.558159, 38.379588 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.42, "volume": 11224405, "typical_volume": 5457135.35, "trend": 36.282093, "fair_value": 34.091043, "relative_strength": 6.216717, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.725661, "energy": 30.288273, "activity_lines": [ 41.710652, 42.265381, 40.557139, 38.468219 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.51, "volume": 4781649, "typical_volume": 5406318.75, "trend": 36.429283, "fair_value": 34.053272, "relative_strength": 1.082931, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.808038, "energy": 18.483928, "activity_lines": [ 40.028, 41.364924, 40.517447, 38.547439 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }