{ "ticker": { "uuid": "66910f3f-003b-4736-b8fe-6a6273a8ba53", "symbol": "000507", "name": "Zhuhai Port Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.804, "architecture_energy": 20.234, "architecture_maturity": 81.089, "architecture_confidence": 72.405, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.83, "rotation_up": 28.48, "upward_expansion": 18.62, "deceleration": 46.93, "rotation_down": 26.82, "downward_expansion": 57.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.941333, 4.883197, 4.951794, 5.069232 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.98, "trend_reference": 5.203787, "distance_from_trend": -0.043005, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.140135, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.031154, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.495712, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.092896, "excess_performance": -0.100296, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.043005, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03199, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.031154, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035721, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.094957, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.133277, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.092896, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.873829, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50811610, "relative_activity": 0.805642, "balance": 0.873829, "dry_up": 1.214871, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056271, "annualized_volatility": 0.231639, "from_high_reference": -0.160202, "from_low_reference": 0.087336 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.203787, "fair_value_reference": 5.140135, "structural_low": 4.58, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.002247, "positive_rate": 0.518519, "directional_follow_through": 0.481481, "median_excess_return": 0.0216, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.151899, "worst_return": -0.105431, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.012698, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.044499, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.104962, "worst_return": -0.091483, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.044147, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.030707, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.077586, "worst_return": -0.115723, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.554965, "energy": 45.557239, "activity_lines": [ 4.803906, 4.848421, 5.000417, 5.120545 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.83, "volume": 57389882, "typical_volume": 69722582.05, "trend": 5.22012, "fair_value": 5.145904, "relative_strength": -10.064624, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.01306, "energy": 42.168928, "activity_lines": [ 4.816667, 4.832732, 4.968685, 5.094495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.06, "volume": 73466269, "typical_volume": 66049106.4, "trend": 5.211454, "fair_value": 5.143276, "relative_strength": -3.79991, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.576925, "energy": 26.735168, "activity_lines": [ 4.897333, 4.864386, 4.962525, 5.084164 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.98, "volume": 50811610, "typical_volume": 63069702.0, "trend": 5.203787, "fair_value": 5.140135, "relative_strength": -9.495712, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.804285, "energy": 20.234109, "activity_lines": [ 4.941333, 4.883197, 4.951794, 5.069232 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }